Originally Posted by
RemoveB4flght
If we have 2/3rds of the the fleet flying at near full loads by the end of the summer, that positive of a trend would definitely not indicate furloughs, and may even have us reconsider pushing deliveries.
We aren’t waiting out the economy, we are waiting out groupthink and mass psychology. Similar to that scene in the movie Jaws when everyone is on the beach afraid to go swimming until the first people decide to risk it.
I remember 2007 the big scare of toys, tools, personal products, etc. from Chy-na possibly having lead paint. That Xmas season was a disaster for retailers, and there was the big “Buy American” push. Been to Harbor Freight lately?
Consumer confidence is difficult to predict, but as soon as people see friends/family/neighbors on a cheap holiday without catching the ‘Rona the pendulum can start swinging the other way quick.
The next few weeks should give some insight as people start poking their heads out and the dreaded 2nd wave doesn’t materialize.
I completely agree. I feel like I’ve been one of the only few to tell everyone to “chill the F out” When things when to virtually 0. Same happened in China and it was coming back.
Now we are seeing very good signs here, this past week, and I don’t think it’s going to slow down.
The fact TC said we are adding flying in June that they didn’t even have on their radar 30 days ago tells you a hell of a lot about where things are headed.
318K screened yesterday. ORD is even busier this morning on my commute home then yesterday. Won’t be shocked at all to have it climb above 350k at some point this weekend.
Have friends at all of the Big 3. All are adding flying in June. AA is even taking some 73s back out if storage.
There’s talk of us doing 200-400 a day by July. That wouldn’t shock me in the slightest. I think July 4 - Labor Day is going to surprise a lot of the negative “the world is over along with our career” types.