Simple math: The junior CA now is 77%. There's no reason to think it would be any different after a displacement.

With a 19% reduction on this bid this puts him/her at 9100 or a 2014 hire.

And it still may be NYC. With the cutback in flying commuting to RES is an even more onerous existence than ever. Faced with the reality of having to commute in to sit long call I think NYC will remain the junior base.