Interesting take. However it looks past the historical trends towards seniority stove piping when things get bad. During the salad days its relatively common to see lots of "out of seniority" awards because we all have the luxury of sharpshooting it on our exact terms whenever we want. When things are bad and advancement slow, we tend to bid the best pay rates we can get as a geenral rule. That said, this MOAD will probably be transitional where you'll see a bit more stovepiping but not as strict as we'll see later.