Originally Posted by
cadetdrivr
^ ^ ^
This
Especially considering the displacement results were released on a Saturday during a long holiday weekend and pilots were drawing "conclusions" within hours by trying to look at training assignments. You can't take bad data, or in this case almost zero data, and over extrapolate that into anything useful.
We'll know a little bit more with each passing day until October 1 and nothing is set in stone until it happens. Or doesn't happen.
I get the point about drawing strict conclusions about furloughs based on training assignments, BUT there has got to be some correlation. Carlson has said they don't intend to train pilots in positions they aren't expected to actually hold. That is true for pilots in 'intermediate' bump positions (eg 777FO to super junior 737CAP) and it is almost certainly true for pilots they intend to furlough. Why would they train a 757FO in their bump 737FO position if they are likely going to be furloughed? It's common sense that they will train the pilots they intend to remain as 737 and 320 FOs. They are executing a plan that has been pretty consistent, but we all hope doesn't have to be executed. Because the plan is not firm they haven't explicitly tied a number of furloughs to their plan, but the training plan gives us as clue. The only reason you shouldn't draw conclusions is because they may change the plan.