After the notes I've read from yesterday's town hall and especially the fact that they've pulled 737s, 757s, and 787s out of storage, I'm now expecting a much smaller furlough on 1 Oct.

Since the company is looking for the cheapest solution, I'll ask this question based on furlough pay. How many pilots will have less than 3 years of service on 1 Oct?
That would put furlough pay anywhere from zero (probies) to 1 month of pay. If they're all recalled in time to be trained for summer 2022 (or earlier), all that would be required is an RQ2. It wouldn't be expensive to furlough that bottom group.

If anyone has insight on future bookings, I'd be curious to hear how they are looking.