Originally Posted by
Andy
As of now, which BESs do you expect to be displaced on the next bid?
Andy,
Honestly I am not sure at all, and could only take a guess.
This would be my
GUESS based on the targets provided in the May 8th crew resource update:
777 Using that update it appears the 777 is heavy in SFO and light in EWR, but total number of 777 crews is close to desired level. Not sure they want to try and risk fixing the imbalance with the displacement process, and might just shift flying between EWR and SFO. The SFO 777 FO might see some cuts if they forecast a few excess SFO 787 CA coming down.
787 Most are slightly over with DCA well over and EWR way under. Probably also want to avoid retraining 787 to 777 and address imbalances with shifted flying. The DCA 787 CA and IAH 787 CA likely to be listed in displacement. In the right seat IAH 787 FO, ORD 787 FO and maybe DCA 787 FO.
756 CA seats are light and FO over. Doubt any 756 CA listed, but would expect EWR 756 FO, IAH 756 FO and maybe some ORD 756 FO.
737/320 No guidance was provided. Based on past history there might be some minor left seat displacements in bases that picked up extra. As far as FO, it is VERY risky for the company to displace too many from the NB right seat as many will opt for full transition (737 to 320 or 320 to 737) making that an undesirable option. With the training backlog, that is not likely at this point, but never underestimate the company to try it...
This is just a guess from a line pilot. Things seem to be trending in a positive direction, and hopefully the company will factor that forecast into their plans.
SP