Originally Posted by
OTZeagle1
This is the exact reason the union should have said something.... You have 400 people on a manic ride. One minute they are low realizing the unthinkable is about to happen, the next sky high because AAL is running new hire classes, and back straight down when they realize it wasn’t true.
Right now AS is running about 24% of its 2020 planned schedule at 40% load factor, at 65% of last year ticket pricing. Right now fall looks about a 40-50% load on a significantly reduced schedule. We are forecasting 817 bid blocks August ‘21. Everyone is smarter then this but I get it, I have lost a loved one, everyday I woke up I was happy, then I remembered. No matter where you are on the seniority list you want to believe the impossible, I get it.
I'm not doubting you. I'm just wondering about the outside firm AS has hired to look at demand outlook for Summer 2021. AS isn't the only one, pretty much every major airline has done the same. My only question is since this is absolutely unprecedented in modern history, how exactly can they predict anything for next summer? It would have to make large assumptions about a lot of factors (second wave, third wave, vaccine, treatments, etc).