If we were still running the same number of flights as pre-COVID our load factor would be less than 10%. And it’s been indicated ticket prices have been discounted just to get that amount of traffic. That seems pretty grim to me.

We are currently staffed for a pre-COVID level. How much would revenue need to increase for the company to decide they’ll just run fat on pilots and bank the goodwill? Probably a much higher number than what we’ll see by Oct. 1st unfortunately. If we’re lucky traffic might be back to 50% of normal levels. I hope Alaska will want to compete for as much of that traffic as possible, like I believe southwest is getting ready to do, but that’s never been this company’s MO.

You and I are pretty close in seniority I believe, so I get it. The prospect of a furlough sucks. I’ve been furloughed before and I honestly thought I’d never have to worry about it in my career again but here we are.

I will concede nobody can predict what’s going to happen, everyone who’s tried to predict other aspects of this crisis have been pretty far off the mark so far so I’m still holding out hope we’ll all be surprised and see demand in air travel rise as fast as it fell off. Unfortunately my optimism is waning again as I watch the social unrest unfolding across our cities tonight.