What is a good estimate as to how long a furlough and downgrade would last? They said an estimate of 50% down this winter and next summer is about 20% down capacity. That pretty much matches what Boeing's CEO said a couple weeks ago. Just extrapolation but would it be fair to say by end of next year we are back to 100%? Max 1 yr pain? Hopefully no longer than that. The Spanish flu lasted 2 yrs and that was with no vaccines, treatments, or distancing. Covid19 started Dec '19 so 2 yrs would be end of year 2021.