Originally Posted by
pangolin
It’s not straight forward because of relative base seniority but my rough math puts it at about 640 seniority number as the bottom ca with a 20 pct shrink. We lose more ejet than crj captains because ejet is more Jr. May force some ca displacement to the ejet side. It’s a mess no matter what and this number is sheer fantasy. We know nothing. The public stance is stated in the investor call. JO would rather have a reduced hour MOU than to furlough.
It looks like seniority number 700 and below would reduce us by 98 captains. 47 from IAH, 36 from DFW, 2 from IAD and 13 from SDF. Likely would cause base closing at SDF or jr assignments to that base. Possibly some reassignment to IAH for CRJ guys but that would be expensive for the company. I don't know if downgrades have to work globally or if they can do it by base. The contract 23-J-4 does mention out of seniority downgrades. 16-A says the seniority list is primary unless otherwise noted. 23-D-4 covers voluntary displacements - hence why you have a voluntary option in your standing bid. You can bid to be voluntarily displaced to FO. After the voluntary displacements - then the displacements occur in reverse seniority order. So if a displacement bid is announced your standing bid is paramount. This is all premature but a good research exercise. We have no idea about furloughs or displacements and the "rumor" of 100 CA displacements is just that - an unsubstantiated rumor.