likely quite awhile after that. There will still be a training lag.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/01/apa-...ed-pilots.html

And at that, it’s simpler and cheaper to do recalls than new type ratings. And with fleets with multiple type ratings - like American - the training requirements as people change types are more extensive than simple recurrency training. There are only so many sims and trainers and whatever equipment is doing the most flying - which right now is the junior equipment - is the limiting factor in recalling people.

Nothing happens quickly.