Originally Posted by
TransWorld
What you just described, and 10 months worth of early retirements, just described a delay of when the big retirement wave will be back in full swing. Delay, not elimination. It will still be happening in a few years. Age 65 is still going to happen over the next decade for close to 2/3 of the pilots.
Incidentally, the aircraft AA got rid of were all in their plans to send to the desert. Most are over 20 years. They just moved them up a few years. They are to be replaced by those on order that haven been differed. Check back in a few years down the line, they will have taken them.
Absolutely. A DELAY. A delay caused by a smaller (and more efficient) fleet and a smaller pilot group and a large number of furloughed pilots that will INEVITABLY cause a massive slowdown in the flow. We aren’t talking about AA mainline at the top of the seniority list which barring AA going Chapter 7 was always going to be OK, we are talking about the guy at the bottom, the newbie deciding on which regional CJO to take. Is a smaller mainline fleet and 1500 furloughed pilots between any possibility of ANYONE flowing going to make a difference in the inherent value of flow to that person? Oh H€|| yeah.
Denying that is as stupid as denying a strong headwind on a long leg is going to affect your fuel consumption. Inclined Plane can impugn the motives of someone bringing those FACTS up all you want, but it doesn’t change the reality.