Originally Posted by Cujo665

I wasn't. What I said was their math was correct, that those hired in that time period would fall under the higher rate flow, and that the retirement numbers alone from AA, and Envoy getting 50% of every class meant everybody on property could flow in the time period they advertised. That if you weren't on the Friends, Family, Astronaut plan, and weren't networking your butt off then the flow was a good deal.

Getting hired after 2018 will put you in the groups with much smaller flow rates by comparison, and the opportunity for a 5.5 year flow was long gone.... which is why I stopped making that recommendation based upon flow to new pilots. It remained a decent choice due to the worsening industry shakeup. You however continued selling flow which was then a lie.

There will be more consolidation, bankruptcies and consolidations. I'll repeat that the AAG, Skywest/Republic and Mesa are the most likely regionals to survive. I called Compass, TSA and Expressjet over a year ahead of anybody else, and folks like you made fun of me then too. How quickly you forget.

You can also look for a new regional startup by the same folks that many years ago saved Republic entering the market. As a new entry, they will have everybody on first year pay and have a significant cost advantage over the competition, and will use growth and the resulting quick upgrades to draw pilots from the bottom of many other carriers. We'll even see street Captains again at several of the regionals once the hiring picks up again.