Uncharted territory is the best way describe the next couple of years. 5000 new hires in 2022/2023 and THEN peak retirements kick in 2024-2026. So to answer your question based on anything that has happened the last few years is futile. It is all a guessing game at this point.

Junior person at AA is seniority 14486. Junior widebody, 777, LGA, is 10465. 4K numbers. Hiring 5K by end of 2023. AA has 12 787's just sitting on a ramp somewhere awaiting delivery from Boeing. International flying is on its butt. NorthEast deal with JetBlue is supposed to open up widebody flying in LGA.

So.....no answer because you will have to guess like the rest of us.