Originally Posted by
yellowNEO
Attention new hires —
Our current book order takes us to 300 planes by 2027.
With staffing at approximately 16 pilots per jet, 16 x 300 = 4,800 pilots [approximately].
We’re at around 2,900 pilots right now — we carry slightly more Captains than First Officers and, of course, there’s always those that’ll bypass upgrade. However, anyone coming on property now should expect to remain a First Officer for many, many years at a rate significantly below other majors or, if you’re lucky, be an extremely junior reserve captain also making significantly below your industry peers.
That's a pretty flawed analysis considering the "accelerated attrition."
Considering the high numbers of attrition, upgrades and seniority progression are awaiting those who don't flee at the first sign of an obstacle.
It should be properly termed "panic attrition."