Originally Posted by
FlyGuy2021
There is less than a 5% chance that PSA exists in 2 years, let alone 5 years. PSA is parking airplanes and losing pilots. The newest seniority list shows a net loss of pilots again. More alarmingly is the loss of even more check airmen. At least 10 that are on the list are not active, and another 8 that I know of are leaving soon for greener pastures. There are barely enough check airmen to keep the current pilots qualified.
No one hired today will ever flow with the current agreement. Those that are flowing today had a completely different system when they were hired that looks nothing like it looks today. The same will be true for you.
Fairly sensationalized, the hiring is because of all the early outs.
When Covid started the big 3 let too many pilots leave early. When those pilots are replaced and normal retirement attrition is all they are hiring for things will become less crazy.
The current wave, from post Covid to today, does not represent the big 3 annual retirements. It represents the early outs, retirements during Covid, and annual retirements.
It takes 2-3 years to develop a CFI into an RJ CA. Even a 62 year old has enough time to contribute to that process. The big 3 didn’t account for needing to keep every 62 year old to allow a CFI to become an RJ CA.
If there was anyway for the early outs to return you would see how fast it would normalize, with good movement, but not fleet parking movement.
Once the date passes the early outs would have retired things will slow down from this increased pace. In 4-5 more years things will slow down again.
This exact moment is unsustainable, it’s a double whammy because regionals weren't hiring during Covid, and starting that 2-3 year CA clock. If they had never stopped this wouldn’t be happening.