That's the million dollar question. It could be turned around with blazing speed...or we night not see another TA for years.

I think we can make some pretty good assumptions though... Notwithstanding the LCA & PI bottleneck the company doesn’t really think they have a problem. We keep chugging along and the flights keep going close to scheduled. They are already throwing a lot of $$$ at us...but only the fortunate among us that get lots of Premium Pay. They don't feel the need to spread the wealth among us all. Also, the expedited review period prior to the MR vote appears designed to force a vote prior to 2Q results. That alone would cause me to vote NO.

One final thought. The company wants this signed soonest - before the financial benefits of the recovery kick in to full gear. By signing early we acknowledge that we can't capture all of the upside, but it may be worth the risk to sign a deal given the tenuous economic forecasts. There a several ways we can hedge the financial risk of signing early. Two of those have been in recent contractual LOAs - a 'me too' clause & a pay increase triggered by measurable profitability. Neither of these are in the TA which tells me the company doesn't want to share in the success we helped build. Instead we have a short term contract - amendable in 18 months. This indeed gives us the opportunity to negotiate wage increases, BUT the company will have no incentive to reach an agreement. So on we go...another multi year delay beyond thr amendable date. We JUST WENT THROUGH THAT. Did we get a deal in 2019 pre-COVID when we were at record profit levels....or did we go past the amendable date?

This TA doesn't come close to capturing our share of the financial success of United. Financial success that wouldn't have been possible without our coperation.