Originally Posted by
pangolin
You guys are missing the point. The hiring at the majors is going to slow. This is a temporary surge to replace the covid losses. It’s already changing.
While I do think hiring will slow at the legacy level a disruption like what we’re in right now will not fix itself quickly. Nearly all regional have cut hiring of cfis because they have too many low time fos and with new pay rates they can’t sustain themselves by paying more and more fos to sit around and not fly. You’re seeing more ca leave to majors than there are upgrading which is only making the problem worse. It’s still in a downward trend and even if/when it equalizes because majors slow hiring again it’s going to take multiple years to rectify the hole regionals are currently digging. Even if it’s a temporary problem it’s not one that’ll be fixed in the next year. It may be another year or two of majors siphoning ca and high time fos let alone another 5-10 years to hire and train the replacement ca of all the ones that left.