Is the regional model imploding?
11-17-2022 | 06:39 AM
#131
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2019
Posts: 744
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No. Every FO you upgrade to CA is more fo flying hours ONCE THEY HAVE PAID OO BACK FOR THE HOURS IT TOOK THEM TO UPGRADE. If they upgrade after 1000 SIC hours at OO they won’t pay the SIC math model back until they have flown 1000 hours with an OO SIC at their side. If they stay in excess of that, their contribution can grow FO flying. if they leave before that, they are a net loss to the system.
. Nope. But the vast majority do. And the vast majority of FOs who depart OO prior to upgrade never come back to become CAs for OO to be able to benefit in terms of upgrade eligibility to payback the experience invested in them.
If you have more FOs than CAs, it’s a pretty good indicator a death spiral is already underway. Not a guarantee, but a pretty good indicator.
. Nope. But the vast majority do. And the vast majority of FOs who depart OO prior to upgrade never come back to become CAs for OO to be able to benefit in terms of upgrade eligibility to payback the experience invested in them.
If you have more FOs than CAs, it’s a pretty good indicator a death spiral is already underway. Not a guarantee, but a pretty good indicator.
The ultimate indicator is far simpler. Your airline is shrinking yet you have stopped or slowed new hire classes. Math.
11-17-2022 | 06:43 AM
#132
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Perennial Reserve
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 14,248
Likes: 257
That’s ugly for the guys at the bottom but it’s generally recoverable for the company. Recovering from this requires hiring street CAs, and they are in short supply.
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