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Is the regional model imploding?

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Is the regional model imploding?

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Old 10-30-2022 | 11:50 AM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by BrazilBusDriver
Then again the RJ operators have been taking wet R-ATPs since the mid-2010s and commercial pilots in the decade preceding that.
If the COMAIR and Colgan events had been widebodies the liability would have been $6B instead of $1B each (ballpark). That's getting to be real money.
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Old 10-30-2022 | 12:09 PM
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Originally Posted by Erjpilot90
I am flying with more FOs wnd hearing of more CAs who are staying at the regionals now and delaying mainline transition with the new pay bump. Kinda interesting.
Not at my airline. Mainline calls - captains go. To do otherwise is stupid. And they know it.
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Old 10-30-2022 | 06:22 PM
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Originally Posted by chrisreedrules
Not necessarily. The majors and legacy airlines will just hire 1,500 hour pilots straight from flight school.
Back in the old days, TWA and PanAm used to hire pilots and sit them in the jump seat as a No stripe observer. Or so I have been told by CAs of the Charles Lindbergh era.
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Old 10-30-2022 | 07:10 PM
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
I'm not certain the current regional pay is sustainable, it may be a bandaid until they can sort out the way forward.
Yeah but now that the bandaid is on, how/when does it ever come off?
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Old 10-30-2022 | 07:27 PM
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Originally Posted by DanMarino
Yeah but now that the bandaid is on, how/when does it ever come off?
If they prop up the regional model with high pay in order to get through the retirement wave, they have a couple options to reel it back in when the time comes...

1. Wait until there's a pilot surplus (assuming that ever happens again), and then startup new regionals which attract young upwardly mobile time-builders with fast upgrade. The established regionals then have to accept concessions or lose their flying. Nothing new there, the regional death march road is littered with the corpses of Top Regionals which were put down.

2. Let inflation do it's work over time. Slower maybe, but gets there in the end.


That's if they bother to keep the regional industry intact, it's not even clear that's going to happen.
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Old 10-31-2022 | 05:45 AM
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Originally Posted by taxi1wire
The first major who can put the regional flying under one seniority list, will clearly have a leg up on the competition. This will solve pilot recruitment issues and allow for a known pilot progression plan.
There's an issue with this. If you bring the regionals in house at a major, it will stop other regional CAs from going to that major. For example: Let's say AA brings PSA in house and staples them to the bottom of the seniority list. A CA at a different regional, maybe Republic is looking to move on to a major. They won't look at AA because they won't want to start at the bottom of the list below the CRJ guys. You'd have to give them some sort of seniority credit to make that remotely attractive. Scenario 2: Someone at the bottom of the CRJ list who was hired at PSA right before PSA joins AA. Option is to stay at PSA and ride the list up to where you want to be, which could take years, or jump to United where they can start in a bigger plane with a bigger schedule sooner and not be so far down the list. Obviously they likely would not stay. I don't see a solution to this problem unless you guarantee some sort of seniority portability, which seems unlikely. It's going to get messy, and airlines will have to either be creative in poaching other companies' pilots while keeping their own, or come to some sort of (illegal) backdoor agreement to stop the poaching altogether.
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Old 10-31-2022 | 05:48 AM
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
I'm not certain the current regional pay is sustainable, it may be a bandaid until they can sort out the way forward. If they brought 175's in house at current small jet rates, yeah that would be fine.



It's not just first year... at some point post-retirement wave a new hire might spend years as a small-jet FO. Mil retirement will keep food on the table and a roof over your head but it's not a windfall. At some point those guys will take other jobs instead.

That said, I don't think recruiting mil retirees is a huge driving factor for the airlines, just a consideration.
Fine by me. The idea that military guys have some god given right to waltz into a 777 needs to die. Some of us have spent years loyally flying the same customers as mainline. If my 76 seat jet is below your dignity, then go sell insurance! I'd rather fly with a 1,500 hour kid than a salty old colonel anyway...
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Old 10-31-2022 | 05:59 AM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by FlyinCat
There's an issue with this. If you bring the regionals in house at a major, it will stop other regional CAs from going to that major. For example: Let's say AA brings PSA in house and staples them to the bottom of the seniority list. A CA at a different regional, maybe Republic is looking to move on to a major. They won't look at AA because they won't want to start at the bottom of the list below the CRJ guys. You'd have to give them some sort of seniority credit to make that remotely attractive. Scenario 2: Someone at the bottom of the CRJ list who was hired at PSA right before PSA joins AA. Option is to stay at PSA and ride the list up to where you want to be, which could take years, or jump to United where they can start in a bigger plane with a bigger schedule sooner and not be so far down the list. Obviously they likely would not stay. I don't see a solution to this problem unless you guarantee some sort of seniority portability, which seems unlikely. It's going to get messy, and airlines will have to either be creative in poaching other companies' pilots while keeping their own, or come to some sort of (illegal) backdoor agreement to stop the poaching altogether.
The way around it would be a experience fence hiring situation. Similar to what we see at ACMI carriers. If you have a certain amount of hours/experience, that will allow someone to get hired directly into class to bid for a NB/WB slot but your global seniority number will still be based on DOH. Those with less experience will be hired into the RJ and seat locked for a specific period of time and will be eligible to bid off until seat lock expires and required experience to bid the NB/WB fleet is met and their global seniority will also be based off of DOH…
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Old 10-31-2022 | 06:08 AM
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Someone else noted the concept of split classes. Certain people get invited to classes with only rj drops and others get invited to rj-free dates
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Old 10-31-2022 | 06:51 AM
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Originally Posted by flyingfiddler
Fine by me. The idea that military guys have some god given right to waltz into a 777 needs to die. Some of us have spent years loyally flying the same customers as mainline. If my 76 seat jet is below your dignity, then go sell insurance! I'd rather fly with a 1,500 hour kid than a salty old colonel anyway...

It's not about having a "right" to do that, it's about recruiting... they know mil, especially retired mil, have other options in life. That issue has actually been diluted by the rise of big RJ's flying longer stages, it's not like the ten-leg turbo-prop days of yore (under 135 duty limits).
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