Originally Posted by
dualinput
It’s a growth airline. They are growing and they do like and plan for some attrition for the reasons you mentioned. Problem is they aren’t growing at the rate they need to to fly the new airplanes they pushed back during covid. That’s why they are losing money. They attempted to train their way out of it and have reached max training capacity and still cannot staff for the growth. They are out of options except for massive raises or a black swan event. I’d anticipate the 319s getting parked as option three before any meaningful progress in negotiations. The only management group that is more anti pilot is at frontier.
I think they can train their way out of an fo shortage but it doesn’t help in the short term. They hired nearly 3 times the number that left. With the training delays and lack of experience getting a new fo to the line and ready to fly though does have its delays even with a net gain. Personally don’t think the attrition looks that bad but the situation calls for a reduction in attrition to grow and increase utilization. Training their way out may take a couple years to get to the level they need to by itself.