Thread: Fleet and bases
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Old 06-26-2023 | 07:08 AM
  #117  
TED74
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
Well, going back to 60 ain’t an option, so not sure why that came to your mind…? Or did I miss something?

And my point was (in part), the older in absolute age pilots get, the slope steepens of those who retire or lose their medical. Said another way, there will be more “early” SL departures in 2 years going to 67 than there were in 5 years going to 65. And, that lower impact will be felt in good hiring environment, vs the double whammy of the late 2000’s

It came to mind because it’s an easy exercise to see how much filtering by age affects the seniority list. Some fun with excel can easily demonstrate where an extension to 67 will hurt most. I don’t think bidding trends would change, so people can take a look exactly where coveted spots will (continue to) be held by the longest-in-teeth.

And you can’t get any more “early” departures than the status quo - it only gets worse with an extension.

My main concern remains…the current hiring environment and current impact of the proposed shift are nearly irrelevant. Resetting FOREVER how long a pilot is expected to work before reaching their desired zenith is bad for the industry and bad for Delta pilots. Even if it’s “less bad” than a jump to 65, or is mitigated by a hiring bubble…it’s still very bad for all but a few.
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