Keep in mind we hired 10 for all of 2024 and will not hire again until Q4 2025, according to our last pilot call. This would add at least 2 years to the 6 year estimate. If I were on the outside looking in I'd listen to the BA quarterly investor call and see how deliveries look for 2025. Right now, things do not look good:

"In a note Monday, she forecast that Boeing will be producing 25 Max aircraft per month if the strike ends in October but the company’s planned ramp-up to 38 Maxes a month will be delayed by a year."

Listening in to the AS quarterly investor call could give you more information about the timetable for deliveries. I'd get my resume and logbook polished up. Try and get some facetime with mgmt pilots at pilot hiring events to set yourself up for success once the window opens. I wouldn't bet on it opening during 2025 and it could be delayed further.

Also: the next wave of upgrade will go very senior in PDX. I fly with a lot of FOs senior to me and they often express FOMO over their decision to delay upgrade when there were monthly upgrade bids during 2023.