Originally Posted by
Flislow
First post here and this seems the most relevant thread for seniority progression.
Been here two years and I think we’ve shrunk since? I’ve move backwards in relative base seniority and am at risk of getting displaced from live in base and having to commute to reserve.
Can anyone put their thumb on a realistic upgrade time from today into any base? New ALPA Seniority tracker tool says on retirements alone, I’d be looking at 2036-37. My time here has been characterized by management kicking the can down the road on hiring promises and I’ve got little to show for the 2 years under my belt. Still on reserve
Your best bet is to look at the bid transaction log and see how many pilots senior to you wanted to switch bases as a captain or upgrade. Then look at the number of available openings on the next position bid. Also, it is important to keep in mind that this next bid is a reduction bid. So senior pilots can displace junior pilots not only out of their base but out of their seat as well.
If you do look into the information available, you'll find the answer is even worse than what the website is projecting. Just be sure not to talk about it with anyone. Or you'll be labeled a complainer and miserable.