Originally Posted by
SoFloFlyer
I agree completely. I was thinking the next 5ish years. Long term, I think it’ll settle at around 5-7 years.
we keep a consistent 300-400 retirements every year for years to come last I checked so a healthy amount of retirements will keep it sub 10 years imo
I got bored and ran some numbers. With 600 retirements/year, to reach 65% system seniority requires
4.5 years at 7% annual growth, which would put United close to 25K pilots by summer 2029
5.5 years at 5% annual growth (24K pilots, summer 2030)
7 years at 3% ( 23K pilots, winter 2033)