Originally Posted by
VacancyBid
I got bored and ran some numbers. With 600 retirements/year, to reach 65% system seniority requires
4.5 years at 7% annual growth, which would put United close to 25K pilots by summer 2029
5.5 years at 5% annual growth (24K pilots, summer 2030)
7 years at 3% ( 23K pilots, winter 2033)
This is a really good breakdown with reasonable numbers based on varying growth projections.
The 22,000-24,000 pilot seniority list makes perfect sense based on United NEXT projections for net airframe growth. That said, I have no idea how they were able to throw out a 28,000-30,000 pilot group size - with a straight face - to new hires just 1-2 years ago.