Originally Posted by
jerryleber
You had it right before.
Iran can lay low for a while, and when the traffic starts flowing drop a few mines and send a few drones. All they need is one burning tanker or even the threat of one in the SOH. The US DOE Sec already said no escorts until next month at the earliest and I don't think escorts will be close to 100% effective.
Asymmetrical.
aSymMetRicaL isn't some magical secret sauce. Exception for local insurgencies against an occupying power, which inevitably enjoy popular support (assuming the occupying power isn't willing to just exterminate them all and repopulate later, which has happened).
Again, the entire global economy isn't irrevocably bound to the bureaucratic protocols in a binder in a file cabinet at Lloyds of London... ships will sail, one way or another. Read my link above.
But it's hard to argue opinions on how this plays out, probably just going to have to check back in a month and see how it's going.