Originally Posted by
Midsomer
Unfortunately to accept a lot of the arguments you make you have to believe what is being said by Hedgspeth and Trump. These are the same people that claimed the war was over, we have already won, the Iranian military is “obliterated” and that the strait is open expect for the shooting.
If all of that what they had claimed is true then why are the straits closed and Iran shooting and hitting high value targets daily.
I don’t believe we have won. Don’t believe anything that is said from the administration at the point as the lies to truth ratio has been exceeded on a “scale never seen before” to borrow a favorite phrase.
At the end of the day our economy, our retirement accounts and our jobs hang in the balance from the decisions of the past three weeks. I personally have very little optimism based on the facts.
Absolutely nothing I said was based on anything those two said. I rarely bother to listen to them (or their counterparts on the other side) because I already know what they're going to say anyhow.
Example, Trump just announced "No Boots on Ground".
I fully expected that because a significant % of his base does not care for foreign entanglements. Also possible that he's actually gearing up for raids and might be hoping to lull IR into complacency on that threat vector. He's done that kind of thing.
I'm not optimistic about profit sharing for 2026. But there's a decent chance this whole thing will be a net positive long-term, I'm intimately familiar with the strategic and tactical capabilities of IR, and our plan to delete most of them. The region will probably be more stable, with less proxy-induced disruption after the dust settles. There's just no way that doesn't math out... capabilities gone, economic prospects severely impaired. They simply cannot reconstitute to their previous position on anything short of a very long-term timeline.