Originally Posted by
Trip7
You can't be serious Kilo. Nearly every Geopolitical expert says Iran has the high ground and they simply have to do nothing to win. Trump constantly moving the goalposts by 2 weeks after threatening to attack Iran's infrastructure is a clear sign of who really is in control.
There are two options here:
1. Trump TACO and comes to a diplomatic agreement with Iran with permanent peace guarantee.
2. Conflict escalates, Dated Brent(physical price) goes to $200 and a global depression emerges.
One thing about Trump, he may be a narcissist but he's not stupid. I think we get a diplomatic agreement as soon as this week.
It will take at least 6-12 months for jet fuel supply to normalize though. 2026 is cooked for airlines ex-Delta
You keep saying this, but you're wrong. Are you an oil exec here in the US for your part time gig? That's not what they are saying. Again, figured you to be smarter than to buy into the panic.
Markets are pricing the end game already. You fail to mention that. They will continue to price that with maybe some bumps here and there, but overall the markets don't agree with your juxtapositions.
The dooming here really has reached a fever pitch. Almost bordering on the insane. I'll be happy to eat crow come fall. But I believe in what we are doing is the right thing and in the end, not far away BTW, this will make the world a more stable place.