Search

Notices

Oil prices

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 04-19-2026 | 07:49 AM
  #81  
notEnuf's Avatar
Racketeer
 
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 13,359
Likes: 845
From: N60.4858 W149.9327
Default

Facts and opinions... and alternate facts Trip staed facts BTW.
Old 04-19-2026 | 07:58 AM
  #82  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jan 2023
Posts: 3,517
Likes: 1,045
Default

Originally Posted by Trip7
A list of the president’s false claims that the war in Iran he started was all but over.
  • “On day 10 of the war, the president said, quote: ‘The war is very complete.’
  • Then, day 11: ‘Going to be finished pretty quickly.’
  • Day 12: ‘We won.’
  • Day 21: ‘Getting very close.’
  • Day 32: ‘Leaving very soon.’
  • Day 40: ‘Total and complete victory.’
  • Day 49, Trump said Iran had opened the strait, pushing the stock market near all time high, yet today the strait is closed, and it looks like Iran is shooting at ships”
If you'd bothered to listen to Chairman Caine's statements at the outset, this wasn't going to be wrapped in 2 weeks. He stated up to 8 in order to achieve objectives. Same as Hegseth.

Trump negotiates in public all the time. His messaging isn't for your consumption, it's for the other guys. You are smarter than that Trip, c'mon man.

After 47 years of hate, it's really close now. Like it or not.
Old 04-19-2026 | 08:06 AM
  #83  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jan 2023
Posts: 3,517
Likes: 1,045
Default

Originally Posted by Trip7
You can't be serious Kilo. Nearly every Geopolitical expert says Iran has the high ground and they simply have to do nothing to win. Trump constantly moving the goalposts by 2 weeks after threatening to attack Iran's infrastructure is a clear sign of who really is in control.

There are two options here:

1. Trump TACO and comes to a diplomatic agreement with Iran with permanent peace guarantee.

2. Conflict escalates, Dated Brent(physical price) goes to $200 and a global depression emerges.

One thing about Trump, he may be a narcissist but he's not stupid. I think we get a diplomatic agreement as soon as this week.

It will take at least 6-12 months for jet fuel supply to normalize though. 2026 is cooked for airlines ex-Delta
You keep saying this, but you're wrong. Are you an oil exec here in the US for your part time gig? That's not what they are saying. Again, figured you to be smarter than to buy into the panic.

Markets are pricing the end game already. You fail to mention that. They will continue to price that with maybe some bumps here and there, but overall the markets don't agree with your juxtapositions.

The dooming here really has reached a fever pitch. Almost bordering on the insane. I'll be happy to eat crow come fall. But I believe in what we are doing is the right thing and in the end, not far away BTW, this will make the world a more stable place.
Old 04-19-2026 | 08:41 AM
  #84  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 12,547
Likes: 1,155
Default

Originally Posted by Hotel Kilo
You keep saying this, but you're wrong. Are you an oil exec here in the US for your part time gig? That's not what they are saying. Again, figured you to be smarter than to buy into the panic.

Markets are pricing the end game already. You fail to mention that. They will continue to price that with maybe some bumps here and there, but overall the markets don't agree with your juxtapositions.

The dooming here really has reached a fever pitch. Almost bordering on the insane. I'll be happy to eat crow come fall. But I believe in what we are doing is the right thing and in the end, not far away BTW, this will make the world a more stable place.
I mean, neither of you are experts in the oil industry so everything you say here are just regurgitated information from your news and bias of choice. I've certainly videos from actual experts who were adamently opposed to Biden's energy policy raising red flags over what is happening now.
Old 04-19-2026 | 08:44 AM
  #85  
Trip7's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 6,220
Likes: 273
Default

Originally Posted by Hotel Kilo
You keep saying this, but you're wrong. Are you an oil exec here in the US for your part time gig? That's not what they are saying. Again, figured you to be smarter than to buy into the panic.

Markets are pricing the end game already. You fail to mention that. They will continue to price that with maybe some bumps here and there, but overall the markets don't agree with your juxtapositions.

The dooming here really has reached a fever pitch. Almost bordering on the insane. I'll be happy to eat crow come fall. But I believe in what we are doing is the right thing and in the end, not far away BTW, this will make the world a more stable place.
No one is dooming. Dooming is expecting a global depression. I think that is unlikely because I believe cooler heads will prevail and an agreement is made in Islamabad. Supply chains are still cooked for a while though so prices on refined product will remain elevated for some time. So maybe a mild to moderate recession which is a much better than a global depression.

Please don't mention Hegseth who thought Samuel L Jackson's epic lines in Pulp Fiction was a real Bible verse

As far as the market, again you are staring at WTI and Brent Futures, which trade violently based on algorithms that read Bloomberg headlines within a split second of release. Many times those futures trade as a remarkable disconnect to the reality of the dated Brent/physical market.

If you want to take that as face value of what the market's are pricing in........Good Luck
Old 04-19-2026 | 08:50 AM
  #86  
Trip7's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 6,220
Likes: 273
Default

Originally Posted by CBreezy
I mean, neither of you are experts in the oil industry so everything you say here are just regurgitated information from your news and bias of choice. I've certainly videos from actual experts who were adamently opposed to Biden's energy policy raising red flags over what is happening now.
I'm certainly not an Oil expert but I know how to expand the team to experts enough that I'm confident investing large sums in the space.

Most generalists stare at the WTI/Brent Futures and assume that's what gas prices are. Most are unaware of the different qualities of Crude and how Refiner economics are effected by shortages in certain qualities like Medium Sour
Old 04-19-2026 | 11:24 AM
  #87  
FangsF15's Avatar
Moderator
 
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 8,352
Likes: 1,374
Default

Originally Posted by Tanker1497
It’s funny how the “non-political” APC has become just like the CC. Not a big deal mods, just be consistent.
The forum rules prohibit partisan politics. Current political events which impact the aviation industry are allowed.

That said, the last month has seen more deleted posts (on both sides) than anytime I can remember. Trying to keep discussion on the rails has been… a challenge.
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
SWAjet
Major
14
11-29-2014 05:31 PM
atpcliff
Money Talk
3
10-07-2009 02:16 PM
jungle
Money Talk
0
03-08-2009 08:34 PM
jungle
Money Talk
7
01-25-2009 06:02 AM
HercDriver130
Regional
50
05-21-2008 07:33 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices