Originally Posted by
Extenda
Just a couple thoughts on the bolded points:
1. I just don’t see ANY good so far. Regime still stands, nuclear can maybe kicked down the road (after it was already completely obliterated 6 months ago), and we’re on the precipice of a global energy crisis.
2. The gulf states have had tens of billions of dollars of energy infrastructure destroyed, and now they’re looking for a bailout from the US taxpayer which Bessent has said is likely.
3. Yes, he’s been looking for an exit strategy since a week from the start when it was clear it wasn’t an easy in and out like Venezuela. He doesn’t have one because the plan for the “Iranian people to rise up”, with zero organized opposition against an entrenched IRGC was half baked, and that’s being generous. The problem is he has NO exit strategy. The strait is still effectively closed because all it takes from Iran is a few thousand dollar drones a day lobbed from anywhere inside a mountainous area the size of New Jersey.
this is the kicker. Im still genuinely confused where these pro war (prob anti war during the election but hypocrisy aside) think this war is going. Iran CONTROLS the straight. Period. Full stop. Theyve been goaded into a eureka strategic windfall moment of realizing that they can apply pressure anytime they want with almost zero (relative) monetary cost.
so the only way is to go boots on the ground to establish a flot/feba deep enough to allow us to set up an iads?. Are you willing to do that? Are we really willing to shed blood here? There is no out anymore. We completely blundered, and saying that other folks are being cowards for not risking their young men and women for a war WE STARTED is asinine at best.
iran is actively executing combat operations in the straight as i type this, but “we are almost at a deal” or “the war is almost won”……every American should put on their clown shoes because we are definitely the the #1 circus in town