Originally Posted by
11atsomto
Right...and I mean ....and just as critics were calling the US War illegal........the closing of the straight of Hormuz (or through terrorism by threatening ships transiting it) is certainly illegal under The UN Convention of the law of the sea (articles 38 and 44 respectively)
You bet this asymmetric warfare which is correctly labelled economic terrorism........is still going to happen...there are still going to do it.....and a a result will remain in power.......so they kind of won the war. It ****es me off but I don't really see how we can spin it another way.
Yup. I agree with all of this. The IRGC has suddenly discovered that they can exert incredible power over the global economy with a few mines, fast boats, and drones. It's indeed economic terrorism. There are only, really, 2 ways that the US could win this conflict: 1) Full-scale invasion (not gonna happen) or 2) inflict so much economic pain on Iran via the blockade that the IRGC calls it quits. Except that's not going to happen, either.
Meanwhile Russia is delightedly raking in 2X the monthly oil revenue they had before the conflict. China has banned all oil exports, greatly reducing their reliance on the Gulf. The IRGC won't fold unless the entire country collapses info civil war, which if you know anything about Iran, is a long, long way away from today.
All of this was foreseeable and avoidable. All of it.