Originally Posted by
Gunter
Some SO's are going to training soon to 757 and 727 FO.
In ignoring my darkest outcome, -300, there would still be room for a smaller furlough without much change to the 727 flying schedule. The biggest problem is it would result in too many 727 CAs.
So the "smaller" option of an excess, as I see it -
20-40 ANC FOs
20-40 727 CAs
20-40 Airbus FOs
-1 757 FO
-1 up to 40 727 FOs (I think the SO POP issue is tertiary)
Result - About 60-100 more 727 SOs
I agree their current goal may be your last sentence, but since we're now going to make some initial guesses for each seat, I'll go with:
- 20-40 Airbus Capts and FOs (I really haven't studied this part at all)
-1 777 Capt and FO (..though only the FO portion will be effective)
-1 727 FO
-1 727 SO (not really sure this is needed for my logic)
Zero ANC
Zero 757
-+20 A300 HKG FO Vacancy
Net effects:
- 40 swap seats in 727 FO and SO
- some bump and flush in 777
- some increase in ANC (but not much as guys take 777 or 757 in Mem over moving/commuting to ANC)
-increase in 757 Capt and FO
-...and a few more folks bid HKG FO
Then run the #s on training costs, move packages, etc.
If they don't like the #s, cancel the whole bid (except the HKG vacancies of course) and start all over again.
I don't think they are in panic mode ---- they are going to forge ahead deliberately and incrementally.