You're not going to upgrade as a newhire unless things really shake loose. Either AA's got to recall lots of their pilots and/or Eagle's got to get more equipment and thereby create more seats to upgrade into.

As a newhire you'd be betting that it won't take AA ANOTHER 7-8 years to recall their guys and get them off the Eagle seniority list. But, ya just never know....

LAX SF3 goes pretty junior last I heard, but good luck getting LAX ERJ. When I left it took about 3 years of seniority to even hold LAX ERJ.

Eagle's got great crews, great training, decent equipment and your paycheck never bounces. But if you're in it for an upgrade in the next few years go to SKYW or Mesa or any number of 135 outfits.