Originally Posted by
NoHandHold
Eventually reach 2000 pilots a year???
Did you read that those numbers ONLY INCLUDE 4 MAJOR CARRIERS???
Your argument is based off of incomplete information, retirements will reach 4000 a year at the very least. Just because this industry was ugly to you and now you are happy outside of it, does not mean that things will never turn around.
You guys are unbelievable, many of you believe this industry will be in the toilet for another 10 years. That is such an irrational argument it almost sounds like comedy. THIS STUFF IS CYCLICAL, EVEN A CHILD UNDERSTANDS THE CONCEPT OF NIGHT AND DAY.
First of all things change. You are counting your chickens before they are hatched. The classic legacy airline is under threat. Air travel has seen its heyday. Whos to say that most of those companies will even be around 10 to 20 years from now?
The industry could turn itself over several times before then and regionals could be flying 757's at CRJ wages. The bottom line is how those numbers directly effect you.
It is possible that a few thousand pilots per year could get hired but will it be any of us that gets those jobs? Who is to say that future growth will be in the legacies? Over the last decade LLC's and regionals are taking over. The legacies have been in full retreat. Free skies will begin to effect the future by then. Whose to say that a contracted pilot from India will not get the job? Will the jobs even be worth having by then?
I have seen most of my generation passed over in favor of younger people who are more flexible and can work for less. Who is to say that you will not be the next generation to get passed over? A lot needs to be considered before trying to project into the future. Optimism is one thing but this is aviation. Hope for the best but plan for the worst.
Skyhigh