What's the point? Is it just for an ego boost? Do you know guys that didn't get called or hired at your airline, but should have? How about guys that got called or hired, but shouldn't have? There is no way that you can take all of the variables such as medical, openings, need, profiles being looked for, number of in-house guys applying, quality of in-house guys applying, how much this guy whines when you meet him in-person, etc and flesh out a percentile of the chances of him getting a pilot slot.

It doesn't matter if we had internet forums or not, the question is a complete waste of time. If he can't figure that out at 24 years of age, I'd recommend against hiring him into a military unit.

I stand by my original post. Get off your butt, go try to get a slot, and report back with the results so those behind you can learn the do's and don'ts of trying to get a pilot slot. Quit trying to build your ego by posting some numbers, hoping that everyone will say "wow, you'll get hired for sure." In the end, the guy with the hottest sister (or the hottest sister, herself) will be the one to get hired anyway.

Disclaimer: since it's ANG, it will be the one with the most politically connected parent or sponsor. For a lesson on how the world works, go watch the Seinfeld episode where George is trying to compete in front of the board for the big apartment. Imagine that is you bragging about your scores and GPA and how these guys on this one website told you how good your chances were while the guy behind you slips them a $50 bill and gets the slot.