K so here's how I look at it (this is alcohol induced..sorry)

Out of the 100 letters that are going to be sent..

14 voluntaries are probably a no
and an additional 59 are the remainder of the January guys.
followed by 27 into the November fulroughs

All the 14 voluntaries are probably a no
my guess is that 40% of the invols from 1/19/09 will be a no as well
40% of 59=23

That's 38 no's in the first 100 already.

Historically 30% of furloughs don't come back..I think the January guys will be a higher bypass rate due to their higher times and ability to find more gainful employment once let go from Comair.

So an additional 8 will say no from the 11/5 group that gets touched by these 100 letters

Meaning that out of those 100...46 will say no.

Meaning 54 said yes...meaning an additional 20 recall letters beyond that.

This could go as deep as 120-130 pilots into the list.


OK, that took a lot out of me..advil and bed