Originally Posted by
Av8tion
nothing official yet... they only have one official reply back so far in the mail because of the holiday weekend (was a voluntary furlough bypassing)
they seem to think that another round seems likely, and they cited that when they were short 5 pilots they ended up sending another 14 letters...
completely unofficially... but since they are trying to get 72 minimum recalls out of 100 letters, i guarantee a second wave of recalls... so if you're close to the cutoff line expect a phonecall in the next couple weeks... all you need is for more than 13 of the 85ish nonvoluntary furloughs to resign for them to start round 2... given the 30ish percent rejection rate they said on the phone (i think the number they used was 31.8) they will probably end up at least 12-13 pilots short, which would probably provoke a second round of recalls in the 20-25 range minimum... so if you're in the top 125 on the list, you're comming back for one of those class dates...
Anybody not coming back, would most likely accept recall, pick the latest class date (Aug. 1) and then resign on the 31st of July. I can't imagine anyone resigning their number one day earlier than what's required. A lot can happen in two months and abandoning one's backup plan prematurely is none too smart an idea.
Point? They won't know how many are coming back until the 8/1 class starts. Those letters are pretty worthless in terms of an accurate count of whose really coming back.