3. Even if I'm wrong on #2, GWB will never allow FedEx and UPS to actually strike more than about 15 minutes -- think Clinton and AAL. Both entities are too important to the economy for a job action to drastically affect the economy.

I disagree. Do you realize that for the last 80 years of the RLA the PEB has only been used TWICE. Twice in 80 years. I think the NMB is getting tired of UPS arrogant attitude. I think this Jan. we will be released. And UPS will pay on the 21st. day. Remember the Teamsters are only a year an half away. They will be walking with us. And UPS wants to appear strong. What the IPA is asking for is pennies on the dollar.