Originally Posted by
tsquare
Like Walmart, they make it on volume. The number of new legacy airlines is limited.. but the number of start-up RJ operators is limitless. That one was easy.
Reposted and added info because I still don't see a logical response:
I disagree with your "easy" premise of "volume":
For every "start-up RJ operator" there is a loss somewhere else in the network.
Gain Compass dues = Lose NWA mainline dues
Gain ASA/CMR dues= Lost DAL mainline dues
Gain CHQ flying = Lost UAL/CAL/US mainline dues and any RJ ALPA dues
Gain GoJet pilots only= Lose UA mainline dues and any RJ ALPA dues
Even if your theory was sort of true, it takes 2+ RJ pilots dues to replace 1 mainline pilots dues
(That is a lot more "walmarting" than can possibly have actually occured).....and I still aver that the flying is only shifting, not growing.
besides...what RJ airline has been started up in the last 10 years besides Gojets(diverted flying from transtates pilots...non-ALPA), Compass(that NWA created to
replace DC-9 flying), and Freedom(which
wasn't new growth but diverted Mesa growth...also non union but later absorbed into Mesa)?