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-   -   seniority proposals outcome analysis (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/alaska/113977-seniority-proposals-outcome-analysis.html)

rickair7777 06-01-2018 05:51 AM


Originally Posted by python (Post 2606434)
Yes, this only shows pilots who will be integrated. The post-merger hires will be junior to all affected pilots from all groups and will therefore have no impact on the career progression for senior affected pilots in any merged scenario.

The data model presents outcome information based on highest ranked position possible for all pilots at all times. This doesn't happen in the real world but is extremely useful for building outcome results which are determined by known variables such as list order or conditions and restrictions while controlling the unknown personal choice variables. So while pre-merger pilots could choose to bid positions normally held by post-merger pilots, that is not a reflection of maximum bidding power and won't be included in the model. In short, the results indicate the best everyone could do from each group under both proposals.

Also as mentioned on the chart website, the data used to create the charts is an estimate from the submitted proposals. To be more accurate, specific inputs concerning inactives, job counts, etc. would be needed.

Then your bands for FO R / FO B / CA R / CA B are invalid and confusing because there are already post-merger pilots on property. There should be some pilots at the bottom (FO reserve and junior FO B range) whose seniority does not change under any proposal. IIRC Anyone hired after about Apr 2017? Those people provide a bottom buffer anyone subject to the SLI.

python 06-01-2018 06:11 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 2606596)
Then your bands for FO R / FO B / CA R / CA B are invalid and confusing because there are already post-merger pilots on property. There should be some pilots at the bottom (FO reserve and junior FO B range) whose seniority does not change under any proposal. IIRC Anyone hired after about Apr 2017? Those people provide a bottom buffer anyone subject to the SLI.

The goal is to examine how affected pilots will be impacted only. The program will incorporate furlough for affected pilots if the number of jobs decreases faster than the rate of attrition for affected pilots.

There is further explaination on the website or feel free to PM me if you would like. Glad to have the good questions.

flybywire44 06-01-2018 07:49 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 2606596)
Then your bands for FO R / FO B / CA R / CA B are invalid and confusing because there are already post-merger pilots on property. There should be some pilots at the bottom (FO reserve and junior FO B range) whose seniority does not change under any proposal. IIRC Anyone hired after about Apr 2017? Those people provide a bottom buffer anyone subject to the SLI.

Rickair7777, the integration of pre-merver pilots is the scope of this proceeding. Post-merger pilots are simply end-tailed and should not be considered as identifying reasonable balances of those true pre-merger expectations is paramount.

This analysis is excellent Python.

—I hope you post more of your analysis these proposed lists in your many other charting formats such as what you have here: www.rubydatasystems.com/gallery.html

Bwipilot 06-01-2018 03:15 PM


Originally Posted by IFlyEm (Post 2606508)
Well....1000/2000 puts you in a the left seat. 300/1000 does not.

I think IFlyEm looks at seniority upside down compared to the average pilot. We read 300 as 300 from the top--IFlyEm seems to be looking as from the bottom. Tower of Babel in effect.

ImperialxRat 06-01-2018 04:02 PM


Originally Posted by Bwipilot (Post 2606926)
I think IFlyEm looks at seniority upside down compared to the average pilot. We read 300 as 300 from the top--IFlyEm seems to be looking as from the bottom. Tower of Babel in effect.

You must be right, and he must not be good at math, specifically fractions.

Ispeakjive 06-01-2018 05:39 PM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 2606510)
Why waste time with useless charts that are meaningless and have no impact on the final arbitrated result?

Because some people need a boogey man to blame and are not content with a little peace and quiet.

IFlyEm 06-02-2018 01:29 AM


Originally Posted by Bwipilot (Post 2606926)
I think IFlyEm looks at seniority upside down compared to the average pilot. We read 300 as 300 from the top--IFlyEm seems to be looking as from the bottom. Tower of Babel in effect.

You guys are right. Too many redeyes. Lol

GucciBoy 06-02-2018 11:44 AM


Originally Posted by IFlyEm (Post 2607086)
You guys are right. Too many redeyes. Lol



Ah, it all makes sense now. I try to understand real hard-like but since I didn’t fly fighters a lot of things go over my head.


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Work4life 06-03-2018 09:45 PM


Originally Posted by Galaxy5 (Post 2606102)
Lol, please report to the step desk with your AF Form 69-1 Hurt Feelings Report by COB tomorrow.

Who calls it SUPT in conversation anyway?

Huh? Is your brain broke down like the Fred?

CaptCoolHand 07-16-2018 04:30 PM

Not trying to stir the pot, but was the SLI completed? I was trying to follow but apparently failed.


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