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Old 10-28-2020, 03:11 PM
  #121  
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Originally Posted by ZeroTT View Post
Closest to the last option

i think when AA files chapter 11 there’s a chance some creditors may just take their property and walk. What happens if AA loses all their a320’s and all their lhr slots (mix and match collateral as you like)

Does it implode?
Slots as property or even as collateral are in a somewhat nebulous state of flux currently:

https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/un...stry-an-44275/


https://www.ft.com/content/cc96f272-...6-65446ec237ed

Currently, the FAA is holding off on enforcing the 80% rule.

https://thepointsguy.com/news/airlin...laguardia-jfk/

But with airline travel UNIVERSALLY down, and scope limitations even paring back regional flights, the slots collateralizing these loans to airline could evaporate once the moratorium on enforcement is over. At that point it would become ‘use it or lose it’ Which coukd make holders of bonds backed by slots....twitchy.
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Old 10-28-2020, 03:50 PM
  #122  
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Originally Posted by Mozam View Post
First. You would be better off going to the bar to find DP

Second. It is not DP fault that AA has codeshare. APA gave it to him . I am sure he would be more than glad to give it back at a price .
Codeshare? Like every other legacy has or nah?
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Old 10-28-2020, 04:12 PM
  #123  
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Originally Posted by ZeroTT View Post
Closest to the last option

i think when AA files chapter 11 there’s a chance some creditors may just take their property and walk. What happens if AA loses all their a320’s and all their lhr slots (mix and match collateral as you like)

Does it implode?

That’s highly unlikely. One taking your planes and walking mean selling them at a very large discount. My guess is AA has it pretty well prepackaged when/if they file. From everything the analyst are saying we have a while before we file.
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Old 10-28-2020, 05:01 PM
  #124  
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Originally Posted by Downtime View Post
That’s highly unlikely. One taking your planes and walking mean selling them at a very large discount. My guess is AA has it pretty well prepackaged when/if they file. From everything the analyst are saying we have a while before we file.
Exactly. Let alone if AA could dump pensions and get the level field others have there it would be a huge savings alone.
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Old 10-28-2020, 05:20 PM
  #125  
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On the horns of a dilemma : shrink and infrastructure and debt cannot be managed. Hold to present size or thereabouts and the daily cash burn destroys the company.
Acid test - who would loan even more money to AAG with those prospects?
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Old 10-28-2020, 08:53 PM
  #126  
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The government.
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Old 10-28-2020, 09:02 PM
  #127  
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Originally Posted by Downtime View Post
That’s highly unlikely. One taking your planes and walking mean selling them at a very large discount. My guess is AA has it pretty well prepackaged when/if they file. From everything the analyst are saying we have a while before we file.
Yes, the credit is collateralized by planes. Say, they were loaned to 80% of resale value. Now the the resale value has dropped to 10%. Banks do not like to hold onto planes for several years, for values to increase. So, not a good deal to take planes. just hold onto what you can, and take the altered terms.
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Old 10-28-2020, 10:10 PM
  #128  
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Originally Posted by TransWorld View Post
Yes, the credit is collateralized by planes. Say, they were loaned to 80% of resale value. Now the the resale value has dropped to 10%. Banks do not like to hold onto planes for several years, for values to increase. So, not a good deal to take planes. just hold onto what you can, and take the altered terms.
Except the unsecured creditors get a vote too, just like the Secured creditors do.
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Old 10-28-2020, 10:25 PM
  #129  
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Originally Posted by Mozam View Post
Dude you are spun up tighter than a 8 day clock. I am guess the B,C,D and F scales at UAL have are putting you on the verge of going postal. Take a deep breath nut job.
ROTFLMAO! Nice deflection. When caught lying, blame the guy who calls you out for your lies.
You missed your calling as a politician.
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Old 10-28-2020, 10:30 PM
  #130  
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Originally Posted by Downtime View Post
That’s highly unlikely. One taking your planes and walking mean selling them at a very large discount. My guess is AA has it pretty well prepackaged when/if they file. From everything the analyst are saying we have a while before we file.
Most likely scenario. Plans for Ch11, but not going to execute those plans unless liquidity drops below a preset level.
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