Quote:
Originally Posted by NERDpilot
More than likely the judge would tell both sides to negotiate and set a deadline because his decision may upset everyone..you want to negotiate a settlement. You may not be happy with it but at least you had some sort of control in the process.we lost about 50 pct in pay and benefits as well as our pensions frozen
I agree with this.
AA guys...this play-book has been used over and over. Here is how it can pan out
unless you decide otherwise...and when I say "decide" - you may have little or no choice.
1: As above, the Judge tells you to work it out yourselves, since what they plan will be ugly. In the DAL case, the Judge was an eccentric cat-rancher - like the kind you see on hoarders.
2: Both parties will be scared - Management is afraid of the wild-card workforce...will they strike or cause chaos (legal or otherwise)...and the pilots are scared of what a Judge may hand down - a judge who has no clue how the airline industry operates.
3: Because of the above fear, management will say "we must have XXXX cuts, and we must have them now...and management will say "if you give us those cuts, we can save your pensions!". Pilots will likely agree to the cuts, and sign a concessionary contract (If you pilots and APA choose this path).
4: Management will come back again and say "Guys, we must shed your pensions to the PBGC and take another cut - but when we come out of bankruptcy, we will pay you off". Management will say "This is what USAirways, United, and DAL did...we must have the same!. DO NOT ALLOW THIS IF YOU CAN STOP IT! Instead take the NWA method...keep your pension, but slash hourly rates and work rules instead. If you fail in this step, you will lose your pensions to the PBGC and can negotiate for a pay-out upon bankruptcy exit like Delta got.
If all the above plays out, AA *may* get exit financing and emerge a viable entity.
If you can avoid losing the pension, I recommend it. You can re-capture the work rules and hourly rates outside of bankruptcy at the time of the inevitable merger, which will likely be sooner rather than later. The hourly rates and work-rule restoration can re-regained, the pension is gone forever.
Remember, if you make a bad decision and cut off your nose to spite your face (IE make a move that is UN-sustainable, such as a strike, then you become the next Eastern / Pan Am, and your parts get sold off. Delta will be on the Miami / South America Routes like a vulture on fresh road-kill. ON the flip-side, a good poker-face and bluffing with some Dennis Hopper in Blue-Velvet crazy / Mel Gibson unpredictability can be good to keep management reasonable in their demands - definitely take a strike vote and threaten to do so, just realize it will be the death of AA if you actually go on strike. Act like you have a Royal Flush, when in reality you actually have a pair of deuces.
Hope that helps. Been there, done that, got the DC plan to replace the pension. Got the merger. Still working on new rates and work rules. Most importantly: Still have a job.