A350F being looked at for Single Pilot Ops
#21
In a land of unicorns
Joined APC: Apr 2014
Position: Whale FO
Posts: 6,469
It’s cargo. Nobody cares about cargo planes….until they ball up in a populated area and kill a bunch of people on the ground.
Just wait. When cargo planes are automated and pilots removed(we all know cargo planes will be the first)..and then they start crashing due to automation failure…then people will start caring.
Just wait. When cargo planes are automated and pilots removed(we all know cargo planes will be the first)..and then they start crashing due to automation failure…then people will start caring.
#22
Banned
Joined APC: Jul 2021
Position: Flying and fixing cars
Posts: 158
If the bean counters at FDX and UPS determine that these reduced pilot ops work and can save on labor costs, then you can bet they’ll be first. At least with pax airlines, they have to convince the traveling public that having no pilot is safe.
#23
Occasional box hauler
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 1,683
Everyone who says cargo will be last because they have the oldest fleets and buy used airplanes. Why do you think they do that? Obviously because it’s cheaper for them to buy used WBs.
If the bean counters at FDX and UPS determine that these reduced pilot ops work and can save on labor costs, then you can bet they’ll be first. At least with pax airlines, they have to convince the traveling public that having no pilot is safe.
If the bean counters at FDX and UPS determine that these reduced pilot ops work and can save on labor costs, then you can bet they’ll be first. At least with pax airlines, they have to convince the traveling public that having no pilot is safe.
#24
FDX and UPS are currently buying brand new, 90s era technology 767, 777 and 747s which will soldier on in service for 3-4 decades.
Following 737 MAX and Malaysian 370, does anybody actually think autonomous or even reduced crew/remote piloted widebodies flying are neigh? UPS couldn’t get the classic round dial engine instruments and CRT ECAM of the A300 replaced with new LCD screens because the FAA was going to require a new type rating for that. They’re just gonna up and approve the HAL 9000 now?
A simple glance at an MEL shows how operationally restrictive such operations would be to the focus of making service.
Will it happen? Maybe, eventually…when its 1. Operationally reliable 2. Publicly accepted 3. Regulatory approved 4. Cheaper. That said, industry is yet to coming close to fully autonomous driving in two dimensions and that third is even trickier.
We shouldn’t put our heads in the sand about the inevitability…but the threat to any current professional cargo pilot’s career is grossly overblown by attention-drawing clickbait headlines IMO.
Following 737 MAX and Malaysian 370, does anybody actually think autonomous or even reduced crew/remote piloted widebodies flying are neigh? UPS couldn’t get the classic round dial engine instruments and CRT ECAM of the A300 replaced with new LCD screens because the FAA was going to require a new type rating for that. They’re just gonna up and approve the HAL 9000 now?
A simple glance at an MEL shows how operationally restrictive such operations would be to the focus of making service.
Will it happen? Maybe, eventually…when its 1. Operationally reliable 2. Publicly accepted 3. Regulatory approved 4. Cheaper. That said, industry is yet to coming close to fully autonomous driving in two dimensions and that third is even trickier.
We shouldn’t put our heads in the sand about the inevitability…but the threat to any current professional cargo pilot’s career is grossly overblown by attention-drawing clickbait headlines IMO.
#25
FDX and UPS are currently buying brand new, 90s era technology 767, 777 and 747s which will soldier on in service for 3-4 decades.
Following 737 MAX and Malaysian 370, does anybody actually think autonomous or even reduced crew/remote piloted widebodies flying are neigh? UPS couldn’t get the classic round dial engine instruments and CRT ECAM of the A300 replaced with new LCD screens because the FAA was going to require a new type rating for that. They’re just gonna up and approve the HAL 9000 now?
A simple glance at an MEL shows how operationally restrictive such operations would be to the focus of making service.
Will it happen? Maybe, eventually…when its 1. Operationally reliable 2. Publicly accepted 3. Regulatory approved 4. Cheaper. That said, industry is yet to coming close to fully autonomous driving in two dimensions and that third is even trickier.
We shouldn’t put our heads in the sand about the inevitability…but the threat to any current professional cargo pilot’s career is grossly overblown by attention-drawing clickbait headlines IMO.
Following 737 MAX and Malaysian 370, does anybody actually think autonomous or even reduced crew/remote piloted widebodies flying are neigh? UPS couldn’t get the classic round dial engine instruments and CRT ECAM of the A300 replaced with new LCD screens because the FAA was going to require a new type rating for that. They’re just gonna up and approve the HAL 9000 now?
A simple glance at an MEL shows how operationally restrictive such operations would be to the focus of making service.
Will it happen? Maybe, eventually…when its 1. Operationally reliable 2. Publicly accepted 3. Regulatory approved 4. Cheaper. That said, industry is yet to coming close to fully autonomous driving in two dimensions and that third is even trickier.
We shouldn’t put our heads in the sand about the inevitability…but the threat to any current professional cargo pilot’s career is grossly overblown by attention-drawing clickbait headlines IMO.
#26
#27
FO
Joined APC: Apr 2015
Position: B777
Posts: 175
I assume you’re referring to the Skylease 747-400 in Nov 2018. Had the crew used auto land, the landing distance would have likely been increased by 1,000ft…per the autoland performance calculation requirements. How would this have helped?
The problem was that after touchdown, the #1 thrust lever was advanced to a position that disabled the auto brakes and auto speed brakes and the thrust reversers were not utilized correctly. The end result was a severe lack of deceleration that caused them to run off the end of the runway. Of course, the lateral drift on touchdown and rollout didn’t help the situation…and perhaps autoland would have remedied that…but I seriously doubt it would have prevented the overrun.
There were a lot of poor choices made…but I don’t think that utilizing an autoland would have resulted in a better outcome. The thrust levers are still controlled solely by the PF after touchdown and would likely have resulted in a similar end result.
The problem was that after touchdown, the #1 thrust lever was advanced to a position that disabled the auto brakes and auto speed brakes and the thrust reversers were not utilized correctly. The end result was a severe lack of deceleration that caused them to run off the end of the runway. Of course, the lateral drift on touchdown and rollout didn’t help the situation…and perhaps autoland would have remedied that…but I seriously doubt it would have prevented the overrun.
There were a lot of poor choices made…but I don’t think that utilizing an autoland would have resulted in a better outcome. The thrust levers are still controlled solely by the PF after touchdown and would likely have resulted in a similar end result.
The very firm & not longitudinally straight touchdown would not have occurred with auto land either. The advancement of #1 throttle likely being the unintended consequence of it.
#28
Not an obsession as both Boeing and Airbus have designed/debuted aircraft of of significant autonomous capabilities and Cathay and a few others are delving into long haul crews being reduced from 4 to 3, focus on just 2 pilots remaining up front when phasing in automation in the right seat. 797 before it was scrapped/shelved due to CVD19 had the box in the right seat variant for single pilot ops. (Doesn’t necessarily mean just one pilot, just one sitting up front - bunk right behind to include lav within the confines of the flight deck like several aircraft already have in cargo land.) It will be a step by step process that companies including Fred Smith have invested millions in. Down to 2 pilots or even 1 if regulators agree still keeps a body for blame/insurance purposes. Although not an issue for myself with just over a decade left, 0 pilots is a different story and probably way off I hope. Thankfully I have traveled enough - if no pilot, then I ain’t riding as I believe in “skin in the game.” Regarding Trains - they can have track mismanagement, but can just stop if needed…
Do agree the large ship program hasn’t established transatlantic/transpacific standard ops as of yet. Definitely not a high congestion issue compared to aviation but: A 262ft autonomous electric container ship is already tested/running around Norway, by no means transatlantic, yet…. (Probably battery limited, solar panels in the Southern Regions? Hmmm) In 2016 U.S. Navy launched an autonomous small vessel from Hawaii to the mainland with an observation crew for test purposes. Same platform is now being expanded beyond roles of submarine warfare to create the U.S Navy “Ghost Fleet.” Pretty sure their requirements will be more robust than a large cargo vessel just cruising in open water with no strategic/tactical value. Tech is already there, just a matter of phasing out old hulls for new ones. Small number of ships compared to aircraft on a daily basis shows no need to have an accelerated program when using crew requirement comparisons worldwide.
Not advocating, just being aware is everything.
Do agree the large ship program hasn’t established transatlantic/transpacific standard ops as of yet. Definitely not a high congestion issue compared to aviation but: A 262ft autonomous electric container ship is already tested/running around Norway, by no means transatlantic, yet…. (Probably battery limited, solar panels in the Southern Regions? Hmmm) In 2016 U.S. Navy launched an autonomous small vessel from Hawaii to the mainland with an observation crew for test purposes. Same platform is now being expanded beyond roles of submarine warfare to create the U.S Navy “Ghost Fleet.” Pretty sure their requirements will be more robust than a large cargo vessel just cruising in open water with no strategic/tactical value. Tech is already there, just a matter of phasing out old hulls for new ones. Small number of ships compared to aircraft on a daily basis shows no need to have an accelerated program when using crew requirement comparisons worldwide.
Not advocating, just being aware is everything.
#29
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2013
Posts: 393
Auto land with flaps s full instead of 25 would have shortened the landing distance some 700+ feet. Not being high or fast, with auto land, would also have shortened the landing distance still further.
The very firm & not longitudinally straight touchdown would not have occurred with auto land either. The advancement of #1 throttle likely being the unintended consequence of it.
The very firm & not longitudinally straight touchdown would not have occurred with auto land either. The advancement of #1 throttle likely being the unintended consequence of it.
You seem to be stuck on this autoland thing. I’m sure that’s what you do every landing…right? A firm touchdown is not a problem. Neither is a crab at touchdown in a 747. It’s designed for it. The problem was not verifying speed brake deployment and auto brake operation. Had they done that…and noticed the speed brake was NOT deployed and the auto brakes were NOT operating, they would have manually operated both and this would have been a non event and we would never have heard of it.
If only there were indications of the speed brake not operating…such as a noise when the motor drives the speed brake handle back(and forward) plus the visual indication from the handle position. Too bad there’s not any indication of auto brakes kicking off, too….like an audible click when they disengage…and a visual indication of the selector being in the disarm position…and an EICAS message.
#30
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,809
"If only there were indications of the speed brake not operating…such as a noise when the motor drives the speed brake handle back(and forward) plus the visual indication from the handle position. Too bad there’s not any indication of auto brakes kicking off, too….like an audible click when they disengage…and a visual indication of the selector being in the disarm position…and an EICAS message."
Lol exactly....it was right in front of them.
Lol exactly....it was right in front of them.
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