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717 phase out?
Riding the JS a few days ago, the captain (an LCA) was saying that he thinks the 717 will be phased out in the next 6 years due to leases expiring and fleet plans shifting. Any truth or plausible scenario where this is true?
I know DL doesn’t own them, but they usually operate an older fleet historically. |
Originally Posted by Meow1215
(Post 2784606)
Riding the JS a few days ago, the captain (an LCA) was saying that he thinks the 717 will be phased out in the next 6 years due to leases expiring and fleet plans shifting. Any truth or plausible scenario where this is true?
I know DL doesn’t own them, but they usually operate an older fleet historically. |
Shifting to C-series? Did AT own their 717s, or did they simply subleased them to Delta?
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Originally Posted by deadstick35
(Post 2784689)
Shifting to C-series? Did AT own their 717s, or did they simply subleased them to Delta?
Denny |
We lease the majority of our 717s from AirTran/SWA via the merger between the two and their desire for a single fleet type.
These planes in 2025 are due to go back to Boeing. The biggest cost on them is the engine overhaul that takes place overseas (New Zeland comes to mind). The cost to add RNP to these is almost $2mil per plane as well. So they will consolidate to ATL over the coming years. I think whether they’re gone or not depends on the A220 and our next PWA with respect to large RJ flying. |
According to latest 10k filing, Delta owns 3, Finance Leases 16, and Operate Leases 72.
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Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF
(Post 2784713)
According to latest 10k filing, Delta owns 3, Finance Leases 16, and Operate Leases 72.
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
(Post 2784721)
Could that be Delta has 72 on operating leases?
For those asking “what’s the difference?”: Operating lease is treated generally like renting. That means, the lease payments are treated as operating expenses and the asset does not show on the balance sheet. A financial lease is treated like a loan. Here, the asset ownership is considered by the lessee and so asset appears on the balance sheet. |
88 we're from SW/AirTran. The 3 owned came later from Blue1. Those 3 are parked.
I see us continuing upguaging to the 220-300 and replacing the entire fleet. As stated, bottom end scope must remain tight or we could see some block hours on the 717/221 get replaced by E175s/CR9s. We'll already have 50 76-seat RJ hulls flying with 70 seats, awaiting conversion. |
Originally Posted by saturn
(Post 2784880)
88 we're from SW/AirTran. The 3 owned came later from Blue1. Those 3 are parked.
I see us continuing upguaging to the 220-300 and replacing the entire fleet. As stated, bottom end scope must remain tight or we could see some block hours on the 717/221 get replaced by E175s/CR9s. We'll already have 50 76-seat RJ hulls flying with 70 seats, awaiting conversion. |
As soon as lease is over, which I heard is 3-4 years from now, Delta will park all 717s. This was determined almost 2 years ago between Delta and FAA CMO.
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May have been winter schedule temporary park.
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Been on the M88/90 and now the 717. Time for the T-Tails to die.
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Originally Posted by Meow1215
(Post 2784606)
Riding the JS a few days ago, the captain (an LCA) was saying that he thinks the 717 will be phased out in the next 6 years due to leases expiring and fleet plans shifting. Any truth or plausible scenario where this is true?
I know DL doesn’t own them, but they usually operate an older fleet historically. |
Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2785079)
In a LUV SEC filing a while back, the remaining note was something like $17 million per plane after 2025. No way Delta would pay that with the price of a new A220 being less than $30 million.(number from the Boeing lawsuit)
There may be a very realistic price point by then for most of them that would still entice DL to keep them. |
Originally Posted by gloopy
(Post 2785085)
I'd agree with that as long as that price holds. But what will the pricing effect be of that many 717's instantly dumped on the market? I doubt the few existing 717 operators will have anywhere remotely close to the demand level to make an upward dent in the pricing power of those very used, very orphaned planes. Sure Hawaiian may want a few and the occasional micro ULCC somewhere, but not nearly 100 of them.
There may be a very realistic price point by then for most of them that would still entice DL to keep them. I could see these being earmarked in a 737/797/etc order in the future. Having said that, direct from the horses mouth these are PLANNED to be out of service in 2025. Just like the MD88 fleet was supposed to wind down by the end of 2017. So the “we are parking them in 3-4 years” is not accurate per the base visit presentation in Dec/Jan. This would be a good thing to cover in one of your skyhub videos if any of you use that (I do not). |
The engine manufactures are backing out of the 797, Rolls is out, so is GE, Pratt says maybe a GTF at 45k lbs, but not till 2030ish. The engine is too expensive to produce.
I think Delta is done with Boeing for a while. |
The 3 parked 717's come back soon. Pulled for seasonal slowdown and keeping engines at reduced hours.
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Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2785161)
The engine manufactures are backing out of the 797, Rolls is out, so is GE, Pratt says maybe a GTF at 45k lbs, but not till 2030ish. The engine is too expensive to produce.
I think Delta is done with Boeing for a while. |
Originally Posted by gloopy
(Post 2785085)
I'd agree with that as long as that price holds. But what will the pricing effect be of that many 717's instantly dumped on the market? I doubt the few existing 717 operators will have anywhere remotely close to the demand level to make an upward dent in the pricing power of those very used, very orphaned planes. Sure Hawaiian may want a few and the occasional micro ULCC somewhere, but not nearly 100 of them.
There may be a very realistic price point by then for most of them that would still entice DL to keep them. Sent from my SM-G975U1 using Tapatalk |
Originally Posted by BeatNavy
(Post 2785322)
Only one I saw that was out was Rolls. Are the other ones newly out?
With the criminal investigation into the 737MAX, now would be the time for Airbus to move on the A220-500, and Delta to replace the MDs/717 with that plane, along with the A223. The 737Max is going to take a performance hit as a result of the criminal investigation. The FAA would have rubber-stamped the changes to the MCAS, as Boeing is bribing the FAA, there has to be something more going on there. |
Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2786831)
Pratt is still in it, GE will not participate unless they are the single supplier. GE/CFM needs a clean slate design that will take a decade or more. Rolls has stated they have too many problems with their current engines to develop a new program. Really, the only option Boeing has is a scaled up, 45K GTF from Pratt. I don't think it's going to happen, not anytime soon. If BA wants to get something out by 2025, then it has to be a 767 Max neo, or some other gimmick with what they currently have.
With the criminal investigation into the 737MAX, now would be the time for Airbus to move on the A220-500, and Delta to replace the MDs/717 with that plane, along with the A223. The 737Max is going to take a performance hit as a result of the criminal investigation. The FAA would have rubber-stamped the changes to the MCAS, as Boeing is bribing the FAA, there has to be something more going on there. |
EB mentioned the A220-500 by name. He mentioned low CASM and that DL wanted them if Airbus decides on it.
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Originally Posted by saturn
(Post 2786895)
EB mentioned the A220-500 by name. He mentioned low CASM and that DL wanted them if Airbus decides on it.
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Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF
(Post 2787220)
Source????
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Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF
(Post 2787220)
Source????
Really good Canabus info |
Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2786831)
Pratt is still in it, GE will not participate unless they are the single supplier. GE/CFM needs a clean slate design that will take a decade or more. Rolls has stated they have too many problems with their current engines to develop a new program. Really, the only option Boeing has is a scaled up, 45K GTF from Pratt. I don't think it's going to happen, not anytime soon. If BA wants to get something out by 2025, then it has to be a 767 Max neo, or some other gimmick with what they currently have.
With the criminal investigation into the 737MAX, now would be the time for Airbus to move on the A220-500, and Delta to replace the MDs/717 with that plane, along with the A223. The 737Max is going to take a performance hit as a result of the criminal investigation. The FAA would have rubber-stamped the changes to the MCAS, as Boeing is bribing the FAA, there has to be something more going on there. |
Originally Posted by FL370esq
(Post 2787244)
Spitballin' but.....Ed Bastian? 😁
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Originally Posted by Gooner
(Post 2787545)
I’m not questioning your info. I sincerely would like to know where you get your information about the latest developments, is it available on a website somewhere? I am interested in this kind of news.
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Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2786831)
Pratt is still in it, GE will not participate unless they are the single supplier. GE/CFM needs a clean slate design that will take a decade or more. Rolls has stated they have too many problems with their current engines to develop a new program. Really, the only option Boeing has is a scaled up, 45K GTF from Pratt. I don't think it's going to happen, not anytime soon. If BA wants to get something out by 2025, then it has to be a 767 Max neo, or some other gimmick with what they currently have.
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Maybe we could just get new 767's in the UPS configuration....with the lav in the cockpit, and 4 jumpseats!
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Originally Posted by FL370esq
(Post 2787244)
Spitballin' but.....Ed Bastian? 😁
“Um, he's sick. My best friend's sister's boyfriend's brother's girlfriend heard from this guy who knows this kid who's going with the girl who saw Ferris pass out at 31 Flavors last night. I guess it's pretty serious.” Written document from said source or video where I hear the words out of their mouth is what I trust. You are a funny guy! 😎 |
Originally Posted by saturn
(Post 2787253)
Skyhub. Select group: Events Expressway. Use search function: Leadership Engagement Series. Choose video on Feb 13th. View starting at 45:07-47:16. :)
Really good Canabus info |
Originally Posted by Baradium
(Post 2787914)
If it could e a 767 NEO it could be a 797, you already said that the problem is engines in that thrust class?
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Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2788264)
Boeing sent out an RFP for a 45K-50K lbs engine with less than 7000lbs dry weight, and is a minimum 25% more fuel efficient than the Pratt PW2000. That means the 797 would be smaller than 767, but slightly larger than a 757. If they simply re-engine the 767, it would be cheaper to keep it a 767, than certify a new airplane the same size as a 767. It's definitely feasible to build the 797, the problem is the engine manufactures will take 10 years to get that clean slate engine, that was requested in the RFP. Boeing could simply go with the current Pratt PW2000, but the A321XLR would destroy it in operating costs.
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Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2788264)
Boeing sent out an RFP for a 45K-50K lbs engine with less than 7000lbs dry weight, and is a minimum 25% more fuel efficient than the Pratt PW2000. That means the 797 would be smaller than 767, but slightly larger than a 757. If they simply re-engine the 767, it would be cheaper to keep it a 767, than certify a new airplane the same size as a 767. It's definitely feasible to build the 797, the problem is the engine manufactures will take 10 years to get that clean slate engine, that was requested in the RFP. Boeing could simply go with the current Pratt PW2000, but the A321XLR would destroy it in operating costs.
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Originally Posted by Mesabah
(Post 2788264)
Boeing sent out an RFP for a 45K-50K lbs engine with less than 7000lbs dry weight, and is a minimum 25% more fuel efficient than the Pratt PW2000. That means the 797 would be smaller than 767, but slightly larger than a 757. If they simply re-engine the 767, it would be cheaper to keep it a 767, than certify a new airplane the same size as a 767. It's definitely feasible to build the 797, the problem is the engine manufactures will take 10 years to get that clean slate engine, that was requested in the RFP. Boeing could simply go with the current Pratt PW2000, but the A321XLR would destroy it in operating costs.
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Originally Posted by Planetrain
(Post 2788294)
Aren’t the 767 and 787 virtually the same size? BA wouldn’t want to build a cheap 767NEO if it was a sales threat to the 787.
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Originally Posted by saturn
(Post 2787253)
Skyhub. Select group: Events Expressway. Use search function: Leadership Engagement Series. Choose video on Feb 13th. View starting at 45:07-47:16. :)
Really good Canabus info |
Originally Posted by Planetrain
(Post 2788294)
Aren’t the 767 and 787 virtually the same size? BA wouldn’t want to build a cheap 767NEO if it was a sales threat to the 787.
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