I like the way this is shaping up. How do I bid for highest likelihood of NQAT in my displacement preferences?

 

Just to be clear, if moderate mitigation includes social distancing, travel restrictions, and caps on flight load factors, every airline will go bankrupt before the virus is no longer much of a thing.

 

Trans States. Compass.

 

And that revives the airline industry how???

Half the pilots on this board believe there’s been an overreaching government response to CV (that includes me). The other half think the first half is a bunch of dumb@$$es and that we need to do more quarantining.

At first it was “flatten the curve.” Now it’s “no restriction is too great if it saves one life.”

There will never be a vaccine (CV morphs too quickly to have an effective vaccine). Hundreds of thousands, if not millions, will die if we go down the herd immunity path-the media will paralyze the American people with fear.

IMO, this reaction in this political climate is the path to universal basic income. “The government said I had to stay home and couldn’t work, therefore the government is responsible for paying my salary.” If the Dems do well in Nov, look for AOC and the gang to begin implementing the Green New Deal. They could never persuade us to adopt the GND, but in the name of “personal safety” (ala CV-19), they can impose the GND on us. No room for airline careers (good salaries and benefits) in the GND.

Im in a pessimistic mood tonight. I’ll feel better after some sleep. But this is my fear of where this could go.

 

I think it's going to be tough. I think the stock market is currently too optimistic. Some airlines will survive, leaner. Couple years of crap followed by a slow recovery.

 

^^^^Bingo.

 

every airline is going away one way or the other. None will survive the next four years. The landscape will be a barren mess of wreckage in a few years with some bits of various airlines struggling to make a comeback. Covid 19 killed the industry.

 

 

We hear everything from it’s all gonna reviver quick to it’s totally over. The truth is somewhere in the middle.

 

Really? All them fancy high speed trains poppin' up out the woodwork inside four years? Just giving ya hard time, Chin up it won't be fun, but people have spread out family, friends, college, business....and unless youre Amish, we are all in a hurry, the world over. Don't get too down, things will improve.