Quote:
Originally Posted by sailingfun
There may be some new metal sooner then some think. I will not however be a 100 seat aircraft. The 100 seater is never coming to the mainline. Management still does not feel they can fly a aircraft with less then 140 seats at the mainline except in some limited situations. They have felt this way since 1991 and nothing has changed today. There may however be some interesting moves on the top side for equipment. Perhaps as early as 2011 and yes the scope issues are a issue in the new equipment and holding up any announcements.
I'm not going to say that "you're wrong sailing! We can see 100 seaters at mainline!" and blah blah rehash and so on from hundreds and hundreds of pages back which goes nowhere really.
Especially since I agree with your premise Sailing that we won't see them.
I believe this because unless Embraer or Bombardier can offer 100 seaters for $6-$10M, I don't know you can justify buying them over 150 seat MD90s and possibly in time used A319s and maybe 737s, who knows. To me some of the more profitable non-state supported operations have opted for a fleet of used aircraft over new.
But looking at RAH's 12 year EMB-190/175 pay scale ($96/hr A and $37/hr B) and looking at ours ($107.67/hr A and $73.54/hr B) you see a $48.21/hr pay difference on the cockpit pay alone and a majority of those savings comes on the backs of the first officers.
Say you flew 4000 hours a year per airframe and had a fleet of 50, at best thats $9.6M a year savings in cockpit crews. Tack on $20/hr savings on FAs and you come up to $13.6M a year in savings. I'll call maintenance a draw and all other things being equal it seems as if those savings would be eaten up by the cost of running another airline-
especially if that airline is funding the creation of a potential major competitor.
And truth be known, these are 12 year RAH rates are applicable to the 76 seater and 100 seater, i.e., we cost $1.81/seat they cost $1.76/seat.
I think its a mistake for Delta Air Lines not to have an unlimited supply of, and 100% control of, what they feel works best for them. I think its in our best interest for ourselves and our airline to have both unlimited supply and 100% control.
I personally would like to see Embraer straighten out that EMB-195 wing and slap some of those cool 8 bladded mega props from the A400 on it and put that at mainline. Let Bombardier take on B&A, China, Russia and Fokker.
Anyways, friendly reminder, the 737-200 was in the Delta mainline stables until 2006. DC-9-30s... are still here. Anybody thats asking for 100 seaters at RAH or similiar airline, whether it be Bombardier, some at Delta, ALPA, etc, truth be known they're not getting back into aircraft we long abandoned but replacing aircraft we had at mainline less than 4 years ago.
Off to church to ask forgiveness for Ferd.