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Originally Posted by f16jetmech
(Post 2475923)
Have a bud that left eagle a couple of months ago for delta with ZERO pic. It can be done if you're squared away, likeable, and do some networking.
Was he a prior military pilot? |
Originally Posted by Virga show
(Post 2475959)
Was he a prior military pilot?
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Originally Posted by GodIsGood
(Post 2475248)
And when are they going to make the next selection of flow throughs?
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Originally Posted by Virga show
(Post 2475959)
Was he a prior military pilot?
If you score the minimum points, you'll get the interview invite. The review process is manual, compared with UAL or AA. |
Wasn't this flow reduction always the plan?
This was posted 2/1/2017 @07:09 pm in the Envoy thread. I remembered reading something like this about Envoy's flow; I had to search for it.
Originally Posted by MidLife
(Post 2292882)
From their own materials, (Q3 2016), they had 202 of the 824 group, flowing at 30/mo (7 months), 1109 of the Protected Pilot group flowing at 25/mo (44 months), 149 of the DOS group flowing at 15/mo (10 months), and 295 new hires after 12/14 flowing at 15/mo (20 months)
If they added 30/mo for 10/16 thru 1/2017 = 120 NH (8 months to flow them) With NO attrition, I add the months 7 + 44 + 10 + 20 + 8 = 89 months + 10/2016 = 3/2024 flow date for a 2/2017 NH. 7 years! or to answer your question, the first NH after 12/14 will flow at 61 months from 10/16, or 11/21. However, attrition is huge - they have 1800 pilots. If one assumes 15/month (about 1%) attrition, which will be all senior to the NH in the beginning (though all junior at the end). This means a quicker flow. So I would guess that 7 years is the outside number. I think they are posting inside 6 yr flow, and I think that is not outlandish. But don't think 3-4 years - no one is projecting that. No, I don't work there. |
Originally Posted by Datsun
(Post 2478321)
Wasn't this flow reduction always the plan?
This was posted 2/1/2017 @07:09 pm in the Envoy thread. I remembered reading something like this about Envoy's flow; I had to search for it. |
Originally Posted by f16jetmech
(Post 2478538)
Awesome point. Attrition is a huge factor. Not everyone is sticking around for the flow. Actually about half are. 300 a year lost to flow, another 300 a year lost to other carriers. That's 300 a year giving up their "right" to flow.
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Originally Posted by 3EngineTaxi
(Post 2478597)
I think you are far exaggerating outside attrition. It seems far too many are complacently waiting patiently for the flow. In my opinion, everyone needs to be actively pursuing ALL the majors much more enthusiastically. The flow is "too good to be true;" each month the flow gets delayed later and later.
I do completely agree with you though, that flow shouldn't be depended upon.... That wasn't my point though. Point is, if we're basing flow and projected flow on actual flow'ers ahead of us, those are flawed numbers. Attrition to other airlines has to be accounted for |
Originally Posted by f16jetmech
(Post 2478841)
Well if the numbers are wrong (600 a year that envoy is losing) then you're right... But it's not my exaggeration. If it's truly 600 a year, then it's accurate (the 300/300).
I do completely agree with you though, that flow shouldn't be depended upon.... That wasn't my point though. Point is, if we're basing flow and projected flow on actual flow'ers ahead of us, those are flawed numbers. Attrition to other airlines has to be accounted for |
Attrition outside the flow
If there is attrition outside the flow, it is minimal, certainly among captains. I’ve only flown with a handful of captains who even say they maintain a log book. Yes, they could have one printed from Envoy records if need be, but these are guys who have given up on anything besides the flow. One guy said he had a few friends hired outside the flow. Not positive they were both to AA, but they had been vigorously pursuing job fairs for a while AND they both have what we can refer to as “additional attributes” that most in the industry weren’t born with.
I think the reality is if you can’t significantly stand out from the crowd, whether with Space Shuttle command time or the ability to add “diversity” to a company, you are just another resume and it will take a while for your number to come up to even interview. YMMV, just my .02 and that is probably all it is worth. |
Captains with motivation to leave are soon coming to the line. As we upgrade people who are 6,7 even 8 years from flow they will be motivated to leave.
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Originally Posted by pitchattitude
(Post 2478987)
If there is attrition outside the flow, it is minimal, certainly among captains. I’ve only flown with a handful of captains who even say they maintain a log book. Yes, they could have one printed from Envoy records if need be, but these are guys who have given up on anything besides the flow. One guy said he had a few friends hired outside the flow. Not positive they were both to AA, but they had been vigorously pursuing job fairs for a while AND they both have what we can refer to as “additional attributes” that most in the industry weren’t born with.
I think the reality is if you can’t significantly stand out from the crowd, whether with Space Shuttle command time or the ability to add “diversity” to a company, you are just another resume and it will take a while for your number to come up to even interview. YMMV, just my .02 and that is probably all it is worth.
Originally Posted by RawHide
(Post 2479031)
Captains with motivation to leave are soon coming to the line. As we upgrade people who are 6,7 even 8 years from flow they will be motivated to leave.
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Actually I know of a few 175 guys that have at least a year to flow that are going to Delta and Southwest. I know Delta is hiring a lot. I've been told SWA is advertising 900 in 2018 but will hire as much as the training center can handle which can take them well over 1000. SWA has the highest capacity to take new hires among all the legacies right now. Something is stirring up over there for sure and its beyond just Hawaii.
I know a lot of people frown on them because they think its just a glorified regional with 5 leg days. I've seen a lot of SWA trips and that stereotype isn't true at all. The bulk of their trips are 3 days average about 3 legs a day. I had to dig really hard to finally find a 5 leg day. It wasn't even that bad. It was LBB-DAL-HOU-HRL-HOU-DAL. You started at 1600 and were back and done at 2300. That was the only 5 leg day on that trip. They don't have any of those up in the North. As you all know it will only take seconds to find a 5 leg day in an envoy bid packet. On top of that it probably has a 2.5 hour sit somewhere in those 5 legs too. They also pretty awesome reserve rules too. There is not a long call out. But you get a minimum of 15 days off a month guaranteed. You'll have AM or PM reserve. I don't think there is airport standby. They also pay distance flown. One trip equals something like 160 miles. If you overblock then you will still get more trips by the way. Each reserve day pays a minimum of 6 trips. If you get called in then each day goes to 6.5 trips minimum and if one of your days ends up being over 6 trips then you will get the difference added to on top your 90 trips regardless of what little your usage was the rest of the month. Each day pays a minimum of 6.5 trips. Its also easy to give away reserve blocks or pick some up even among line holders. Apparently all the new hires are getting their ultimate base of choice within 6 months of their hire date. People fly an average of 110 trips per month over there and still average 16 days off while doing it. They have a 10 year upgrade now but they think anyone hiring after 2014 and beyond will upgrade in 6-7 years. Give it a shot. All I hear about is that the application process through the interview is extremely painless. One guy told me he was in and out of the whole thing in 3 hours and only about 45 minutes to an hour was actually interviewing. Anyone who has at least a year to flow should be keeping there app up to date. Don't get fixated on the carrot in front of you. If you actually look around you'll notice that we are chasing this flow carrot in front of us right through a whole garden of carrots. You just got to get off the horse and dig them up. |
Originally Posted by highfarfast
(Post 2479049)
Every captain I've flown with so far, unless he was an Envoy lifer, fits this description. But they've all been less than 2 years from flowing. I still maintain that even if you're close to flowing and dead set on AA, at least keep that application up to date with AA to try and jump a few spots ahead in seniority but I haven't gotten the impression they are even doing that.
I agree with this. I was supposed to Flow to AA by 2019. I've been in DAL for a little bit over a year. Most of my NH friends at Envoy are staying and waiting for the flow. I would lost around 250k + years of seniority waiting for AA. The flow should be a backup plan for everybody, not their first option, unless that person doesn't have a degree. I wish I could see more people from Envoy getting hired everywhere. Most CAs I've flown at DAL talk about how good Envoy pilots are. Training department and recruitment also knows that. But it seems there's no motivation for it, because AA is always around the corner. |
Originally Posted by f16jetmech
(Post 2478538)
Awesome point. Attrition is a huge factor. Not everyone is sticking around for the flow. Actually about half are. 300 a year lost to flow, another 300 a year lost to other carriers. That's 300 a year giving up their "right" to flow.
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Originally Posted by bigtime209
(Post 2480488)
Incorrect. Less than 240ish flowed this year and 120ish left for other places.
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Originally Posted by ORDinary
(Post 2480812)
I think the final flow number was about 260 for the year.
As of 12/7/2017: Flow YTD - 264; Total Attrition YTD (incl. flow) - 365 |
Originally Posted by ag386
(Post 2474882)
It has become apparent that the flow isn't going to be honored. This year we've seen hiring halts and maximum metering each month. All those "projections" used to sell new hires a 6 year ticket to AA are now looking like Monopoly money.
The seniority list that the union puts out several times a year is a really good indicator. Over the past two years, Pilot A has watched his "projected" flow date change further into the future with each publication. Last week in fact, a new list was published that essentially added an additional three months to everyone on the list. This happens regularly. While technically not a violation, AA hired 84 in November. Envoy sent 25. If the contract was honored as written, 42 would have flowed by the close of business today. Instead, AA/Envoy chose to use the language allowing the company to send 25 per month only due to "operational necessity." It has even been stated by Envoy management that no more than 25 would flow per month in any circumstance. With the indentured servitude one has to put in just to work at Envoy, at least if there was a light at the end of the tunnel, it might make sense to wait it out. Turns out that light was just a match the company lit and they keep walking backwards as you watch it get dim. Envoy is very close to being in serious trouble, along with many other regionals. Forcing a new hire to upgrade before he even completes FO training is a solid statement that the company is in serious trouble trying to fill all the bodies needed to fly the airplanes and schedule AAG wants. It will be very interesting to see the new hire numbers next month now that the Endeavor TA is active. |
Just shows how concerned and frightened about the future of the operation. They are putting up a very good poker face. Now if our unions would capitalize on that....
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Just curious what DOH is flowing at Envoy. I was Chatting w a captain before non reving and he said he had 12 months before he gets drafted and was hired dec 07. Did I hear Him correctly? Also, I heard Your training Dept got some gains. Or was that a rumor? Feds asked me what it would take to bypass my flow. What he thought was fair was absolutely comical. His eyes got awfully big when I told him what it would take to keep me from bypassing w a retention package.
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Last flow per our union email showed 12/5/2005
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I sincerely doubt most of the non protected pilots will ever see a flow. I’m sure in two or three years they won’t be able to staff the WOs and will have to bring it all in house with lower pay or same as now. Also... yea I’m surprised at how many guys haven’t updated apps or logbooks, they’re losing out on a lot of money by waiting for the flow.
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Originally Posted by Battlinbear21
(Post 2484754)
Just curious what DOH is flowing at Envoy. I was Chatting w a captain before non reving and he said he had 12 months before he gets drafted and was hired dec 07. Did I hear Him correctly? Also, I heard Your training Dept got some gains. Or was that a rumor? Feds asked me what it would take to bypass my flow. What he thought was fair was absolutely comical. His eyes got awfully big when I told him what it would take to keep me from bypassing w a retention package.
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A “fed” asked you that? What interest would they have in asking you that?
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AA will only hire 730 pilots for 2018. According to a Jumpseater this morning.
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Originally Posted by Bigpimppilot
(Post 2484778)
A “fed” asked you that? What interest would they have in asking you that?
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Originally Posted by Battlinbear21
(Post 2484796)
Wow, I honestly thought I misheard the captain about the flow. I know comparing peed on to eagle is like apples and oranges. But, we are into the 08s. It’s the guys hired in 11 that hit the jockpot. Most are 28-31. Back when no one wanted to come fly those two fan S cans. We are about to reach a very serious problem I believe. Our Training Dept is going to become a revolving door. Losing EVERYONE w 4 plus years of instructing exp. We don’t have the exp you guys do or the numbers. it’s going to be new hires teaching new hires. Going 2 be a difficult task to keep checkairmen and APDs here. The fed was curious what it might take to keep someone around who has been here to move up the ranks within Dept. I wasn’t unreasonable in my response... fwiw Im still embarrassed about how it all went down and our group slit your guys’ throat when we had the golden opportunity to get it ALL back. Hope I’m not stepping on anyone’s toes in our thread. Just curious what’s going on there compared to here. Again, they are two completely different airlines I know This.
Between taking instructor jobs off the seniority list and PBS for scheduling like management wants, PDT will probably be looking at a 30+% reduction in manning requirements compared to what they need now for the expansion. |
Originally Posted by Battlinbear21
(Post 2484754)
Just curious what DOH is flowing at Envoy. I was Chatting w a captain before non reving and he said he had 12 months before he gets drafted and was hired dec 07. Did I hear Him correctly? Also, I heard Your training Dept got some gains. Or was that a rumor? Feds asked me what it would take to bypass my flow. What he thought was fair was absolutely comical. His eyes got awfully big when I told him what it would take to keep me from bypassing w a retention package.
Flow is no longer a selling point for new hires over there at envoy plain and simple. |
Originally Posted by Gooselives
(Post 2484923)
Dacuj you got this oh wait you are banned!
Flow is no longer a selling point for new hires over there at envoy plain and simple. |
Originally Posted by blizzue
(Post 2475671)
You mean the guys that got you the flow in the first place?
-to be clear, not me. I just sent emails. Any one of us would’ve sacrificed “increased flow” for better pay and work rules, not what was shoved down our throats during BK. Let’s also not forget the union that did nothing when 2 bases closed, and there were massive involuntary displacements. Thanks for sending the emails though. |
Originally Posted by itsmytime
(Post 2484985)
The 60+ person classes they are running say otherwise. The small class in December is because of the holidays. They will be back to normal in Jan.
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58 in class tomorrow
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Originally Posted by Otterbox
(Post 2484882)
That issue is apparently why the PDT old timers in the union are trying to slip in “non seniority list” instructor clause into contract negotiations with the company. They want to be able to setup permanent shop in the training center after age 65 hits and they collect their pensions.
Between taking instructor jobs off the seniority list and PBS for scheduling like management wants, PDT will probably be looking at a 30+% reduction in manning requirements compared to what they need now for the expansion. |
Originally Posted by Virga show
(Post 2485052)
58 in class tomorrow
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Great. No need to meter flow now
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Originally Posted by jonnyjetprop
(Post 2485088)
Are you sure it's the union that wants non senority list instructors?
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What is the flow looking for new hires right now? I'm trying to decide between a few different airlines. It seems that Envoy dangling the flow to main line is the only true benefit over one with better pay.
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Originally Posted by sandwichman
(Post 2493206)
What is the flow looking for new hires right now? I'm trying to decide between a few different airlines. It seems that Envoy dangling the flow to main line is the only true benefit over one with better pay.
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Originally Posted by sandwichman
(Post 2493206)
What is the flow looking for new hires right now? I'm trying to decide between a few different airlines. It seems that Envoy dangling the flow to main line is the only true benefit over one with better pay.
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Originally Posted by Jersdawg
(Post 2493245)
9+ years on paper. Unknown variables include outside attrition, and AA hiring, just to name a couple.
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