Unscientific attrition number crunching
01-08-2019, 09:22 PM
#1
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Joined APC: Dec 2016
Posts: 1,054
Unscientific attrition number crunching
Since I had this and the last year's seniority lists in hand and not much else to do, I ran some numbers.
This year's attrition rule of thumb looks like this:
First year of service - 185
Second year of service - 80
Third to within a year of flow - 60/yr
Year before the flow - 40
Do what you will with that. I'm mostly leaving it here to compare the numbers next year.
This year's attrition rule of thumb looks like this:
First year of service - 185
Second year of service - 80
Third to within a year of flow - 60/yr
Year before the flow - 40
Do what you will with that. I'm mostly leaving it here to compare the numbers next year.
01-09-2019, 05:10 AM
#3
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Joined APC: May 2010
Position: CFI
Posts: 413
Originally Posted by BigZ
Since I had this and the last year's seniority lists in hand and not much else to do, I ran some numbers.
This year's attrition rule of thumb looks like this:
First year of service - 185
Second year of service - 80
Third to within a year of flow - 60/yr
Year before the flow - 40
Do what you will with that. I'm mostly leaving it here to compare the numbers next year.
This year's attrition rule of thumb looks like this:
First year of service - 185
Second year of service - 80
Third to within a year of flow - 60/yr
Year before the flow - 40
Do what you will with that. I'm mostly leaving it here to compare the numbers next year.
01-09-2019, 05:19 AM
#4
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Joined APC: Dec 2016
Posts: 1,054
Originally Posted by dera
Waiting for next years results, but these numbers are very, very promising.
01-09-2019, 05:28 AM
#5
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Joined APC: Dec 2016
Posts: 1,054
Originally Posted by f16jetmech
These are per month numbers? More details!
So if you were 12/17 hire by 12/18 185 people in front of you left, of which 105 were within their first year of service, 13 within their second, 3 within their third and so forth
01-09-2019, 10:20 AM
#6
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Joined APC: Feb 2014
Position: Semi-Retired...
Posts: 3,127
Originally Posted by BigZ
Since I had this and the last year's seniority lists in hand and not much else to do, I ran some numbers.
This year's attrition rule of thumb looks like this:
First year of service - 185
Second year of service - 80
Third to within a year of flow - 60/yr
Year before the flow - 40
Do what you will with that. I'm mostly leaving it here to compare the numbers next year.
This year's attrition rule of thumb looks like this:
First year of service - 185
Second year of service - 80
Third to within a year of flow - 60/yr
Year before the flow - 40
Do what you will with that. I'm mostly leaving it here to compare the numbers next year.
01-09-2019, 04:47 PM
#9
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Joined APC: Dec 2016
Posts: 1,054
Originally Posted by wildcat1
That doesn't seem to track. That would mean 600+ people left after flow? I don't think that actually happened. I could be wrong.
If it does track, what does that say about the benefit of the flow?
If it does track, what does that say about the benefit of the flow?
The most junior guy on the last years list moved up 521 #s. 521=flow + 185.
Guy that did his 4th year moved up 400 #s = flow plus 64.
With the current seniority list the only thing that can be said is that the attrition is fairly low past the initial year. Slight uptick after two years of service - people probably leaving for immediately greener pastures, and then another slight uptick at 6-7 years of service - logic suggests that those are the guys jumping to the majors. Or the guys that resigned due to forced upgrades. Or whoever really knows, but that whoever isn’t me.
01-09-2019, 04:47 PM
#10
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Joined APC: Apr 2012
Position: E-175 CA
Posts: 339
My seniority number was 1826 when I was hired in April of 2016. It’s now 823. Just over a thousand numbers closer to the top in less than three years. Plus about 500 numbers worth of growth in that same timeframe. All according to the latest seniority list.
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