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dera 04-26-2022 11:33 AM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3412478)
Financial and corporate people look at Debt to ASSET ratios. They do not look at Debt to Equity.

If a company that has to buy equipment, via Debt, is in a position where they have no Equity, that does not mean they are not credit worthy.

As an example, if a person just starting out buys a house, and has no equity (calculated like they are a business), their debt to equity is zero. But, assuming they put down 20% on the house, their debt to asset ratio is 0.80. Which would a bank consider in making the house loan?

Another barometer is what percentage of their free cash flow (you may call it income, but more properly it is free cash flow) has to be dedicated to paying the debt, and is that reasonable.

What you are talking about is also known as shareholders equity. And that is almost 10 billion in the red for AAG. Compare to 3-4 billion in positive for UA/DL.

bababouey 04-26-2022 12:06 PM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3412641)
What you are talking about is also known as shareholders equity. And that is almost 10 billion in the red for AAG. Compare to 3-4 billion in positive for UA/DL.

so how will United and delta avoid the debt like AA when they have to refleet? Or are they gonna fly the 75/76 until the wings fall off?

dera 04-26-2022 12:22 PM


Originally Posted by bababouey (Post 3412653)
so how will United and delta avoid the debt like AA when they have to refleet? Or are they gonna fly the 75/76 until the wings fall off?

I'm not sure you understand how this works.

When DL/UA will finance a new plane, they also gain that plane in their assets. Their total debt will increase, but it will only have a minor effect on their debt to asset ratio.
The problem AAG has is that even with all the new shiny planes, they still are way down in the drain with their shareholder equity.

Not to mention their free cashflow and profit margins are in a different ballpark than AAG, so their ability to pay down any debt is a lot better than AAG, who is barely staying afloat right now.

Excargodog 04-26-2022 01:20 PM

AAG free cash flow in the last decade has not been stellar


https://i.ibb.co/BjMNG02/EDC24-C9-C-...37-F74-D57.jpg

buddies8 04-26-2022 01:39 PM

All those shinny new aa planes have been sold to leasing companies and leased back to american.

AllYourBaseAreB 04-26-2022 02:40 PM

AA management predicting the 3rd quarter revenue and profits to be the highest on record….

for whatever that’s worth

bababouey 04-26-2022 02:46 PM


Originally Posted by AllYourBaseAreB (Post 3412730)
AA management predicting the 3rd quarter revenue and profits to be the highest on record….

for whatever that’s worth

I’ve heard a few say that they can get back close to what 2015 was if they catch a few breaks. If that can be the norm for a few years, then the balance sheet can get cleaned up. If Covid is a non factor, and they don’t have the max or mechanics to blame, maybe they actually can make some money.

dera 04-26-2022 08:23 PM


Originally Posted by bababouey (Post 3412733)
I’ve heard a few say that they can get back close to what 2015 was if they catch a few breaks. If that can be the norm for a few years, then the balance sheet can get cleaned up. If Covid is a non factor, and they don’t have the max or mechanics to blame, maybe they actually can make some money.

That needs to be the norm for over 10 years to even be above 0 in equity.

TransWorld 04-26-2022 09:35 PM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3412661)
I'm not sure you understand how this works.

When DL/UA will finance a new plane, they also gain that plane in their assets. Their total debt will increase, but it will only have a minor effect on their debt to asset ratio.
The problem AAG has is that even with all the new shiny planes, they still are way down in the drain with their shareholder equity.

Not to mention their free cashflow and profit margins are in a different ballpark than AAG, so their ability to pay down any debt is a lot better than AAG, who is barely staying afloat right now.

You are off base. When Delta and United refleet, they will be in a similar position to where AA is a couple of years down the road. You jumped from debt to equity to talk debt to asset. I am not going to waste my time trying to reason with you.

dera 04-26-2022 09:59 PM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3412908)
You are off base. When Delta and United refleet, they will be in a similar position to where AA is a couple of years down the road. You jumped from debt to equity to talk debt to asset. I am not going to waste my time trying to reason with you.

No they are not. You are just admitting you have no clue how corporate balance sheets work.

Pro tip: It was you who started talking about debt to assets and got D/E and debt to assets mixed up in one sentence. I just said financing new aircraft does not have a big effect on that ratio. If you would have read my comment and understood it, you would have seen I only mentioned shareholders equity, not D/E that you came up with. Raw fact is, AAGs shareholders equity is around 9 billion in the red, where UA/DL are around 3-4 billion in black. Even the largest refleet will not drop these carriers anywhere near that number, I doubt they would even go to red.

TransWorld 04-27-2022 09:18 AM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3412913)
No they are not. You are just admitting you have no clue how corporate balance sheets work.

Pro tip: It was you who started talking about debt to assets and got D/E and debt to assets mixed up in one sentence. I just said financing new aircraft does not have a big effect on that ratio. If you would have read my comment and understood it, you would have seen I only mentioned shareholders equity, not D/E that you came up with. Raw fact is, AAGs shareholders equity is around 9 billion in the red, where UA/DL are around 3-4 billion in black. Even the largest refleet will not drop these carriers anywhere near that number, I doubt they would even go to red.

Just one comment. I did a Masters. My courses in Cost Accounting and the capstone corporate Case Studies (which involved extensive analysis of corporate balance sheets) were taught by the former CFO of Cummins Diesel. I got an A in both courses. Our 3 person team in Case Studies were complimented by the former CFO, as being the best, most knowledgeable and insightful team in his 14 years as a professor, teaching that course. He thinks I have a clue how corporate balance sheets work.

At that point in time, he sat on the Board of Directors of 3 Fortune 500 companies. He fired questions at us, much as if we were presenting in one of his Board meetings.

dera 04-27-2022 09:29 AM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3413121)
Just one comment. I did a Masters. My courses in Cost Accounting and the capstone corporate Case Studies (which involved extensive analysis of corporate balance sheets) were taught by the former CFO of Cummins Diesel. I got an A in both courses. Our 3 person team in Case Studies were complimented by the former CFO, as being the best, most knowledgeable and insightful team in his 14 years as a professor, teaching that course. He thinks I have a clue how corporate balance sheets work.

At that point in time, he sat on the Board of Directors of 3 Fortune 500 companies. He fired questions at us, much as if we were presenting in one of his Board meetings.

Impressive. Did not address the issue even remotely though. Glad you are proud of your degree. You got anything relevant to say?

pitchattitude 04-27-2022 09:58 AM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3413121)
Just one comment. I did a Masters. My courses in Cost Accounting and the capstone corporate Case Studies (which involved extensive analysis of corporate balance sheets) were taught by the former CFO of Cummins Diesel. I got an A in both courses. Our 3 person team in Case Studies were complimented by the former CFO, as being the best, most knowledgeable and insightful team in his 14 years as a professor, teaching that course. He thinks I have a clue how corporate balance sheets work.

At that point in time, he sat on the Board of Directors of 3 Fortune 500 companies. He fired questions at us, much as if we were presenting in one of his Board meetings.

That’s great. I’m an advocate of a well rounded education, but all that matters as a pilot because…?

biigD 04-27-2022 10:01 AM

Holy crap guys, am I gonna be giving jack handies to pay my bills in 2023 or not???

TransWorld 04-27-2022 04:39 PM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3413126)
Impressive. Did not address the issue even remotely though. Glad you are proud of your degree. You got anything relevant to say?

I repeat, “I am not going to waste my time trying to reason with you.”. Good day.

NoValueAviator 04-29-2022 10:29 AM

Hey guys whats going on in this thread

enyPSIsc2b 04-29-2022 11:32 AM


Originally Posted by NoValueAviator (Post 3414234)
Hey guys whats going on in this thread

Everyone is busy updating their apps. The ship is sinking fast!

NoValueAviator 04-29-2022 11:58 AM


Originally Posted by enyPSIsc2b (Post 3414263)
Everyone is busy updating their apps. The ship is sinking fast!

Sweet man I just cleared my voicemail box out of all the 400 plus JM attempts since I upgraded ready for some more

highfarfast 04-29-2022 01:54 PM


Originally Posted by NoValueAviator (Post 3414273)
Sweet man I just cleared my voicemail box out of all the 400 plus JM attempts since I upgraded ready for some more

I find it funny when they tell me via voicemail that they’re junior manning me as I leave the airplane and make myself scarce. Does anyone actually return those calls?

Cujo665 05-03-2022 06:33 AM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3413121)
Just one comment. I did a Masters. My courses in Cost Accounting and the capstone corporate Case Studies (which involved extensive analysis of corporate balance sheets) were taught by the former CFO of Cummins Diesel. I got an A in both courses. Our 3 person team in Case Studies were complimented by the former CFO, as being the best, most knowledgeable and insightful team in his 14 years as a professor, teaching that course. He thinks I have a clue how corporate balance sheets work.

At that point in time, he sat on the Board of Directors of 3 Fortune 500 companies. He fired questions at us, much as if we were presenting in one of his Board meetings.


what did they teach ya about the Lorenzo business model….. ?
it’s what AAG is using….

TransWorld 05-03-2022 09:44 AM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 3416202)
what did they teach ya about the Lorenzo business model….. ?
it’s what AAG is using….

When I was in the master program, Oswald Lorenzo was in elementary school. Your question is moot.

TransWorld 05-03-2022 09:47 AM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 3416202)
what did they teach ya about the Lorenzo business model….. ?
it’s what AAG is using….

When I was in the master program, Oswald Lorenzo was in elementary school. Your question is moot.

Good day.

NoValueAviator 05-05-2022 03:00 PM

this transworld guy mad weird

enyPSIsc2b 05-05-2022 03:24 PM


Originally Posted by JonSnow (Post 3407832)
Hey fellas,
I need your input.
6 months to flow and got a CJO from Delta.
I live in Chicago, can relocate to one of the Delta bases in a couple of years, but I don’t really want to.
Accepted the retention bonus.
Should I stay or should I go?

Did you stay, or did you go?

Cujo665 05-09-2022 01:43 PM


Originally Posted by enyPSIsc2b (Post 3417630)
Did you stay, or did you go?

I hope he smartened up and went to Delta

Cujo665 05-14-2022 07:38 AM

Looks like the first wholly owned to get a real contract will be Horizon. Word I’m hearing is the regional industry will be spun on its head and the Alaska pilots will be on the warpath.

buddies8 05-14-2022 09:13 AM

Gotta start somewhere

pitchattitude 05-14-2022 09:25 AM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 3422428)
Looks like the first wholly owned to get a real contract will be Horizon. Word I’m hearing is the regional industry will be spun on its head and the Alaska pilots will be on the warpath.

Not seeing anything about this anywhere. Source and details?

cr700 05-14-2022 11:48 AM


Originally Posted by pitchattitude (Post 3422493)
Not seeing anything about this anywhere. Source and details?

He doesn't know anything. Seriously, after all these years of posting these "big news announcements " that turn out to be nothing, you fall right into his trap and ask about it. Anything posts is pulled straight out of where the sun don't shine.

pitchattitude 05-14-2022 11:50 AM


Originally Posted by cr700 (Post 3422587)
He doesn't know anything. Seriously, after all these years of posting these "big news announcements " that turn out to be nothing, you fall right into his trap and ask about it. Anything posts is pulled straight out of where the sun don't shine.

I’m at least prepared to give HIM the benefit of the doubt. You, never.

cr700 05-14-2022 01:11 PM


Originally Posted by pitchattitude (Post 3422589)
I’m at least prepared to give HIM the benefit of the doubt. You, never.

Be my guest. Just take a look at his history of "I called this back in 2014" or "I've been telling everyone this would happen." Ol Cutting Edge Cuj.

Oh, he doesn't like you to bring it up but what about that "military background" you have from doing Vietnam War reenactments Cuj?

buddies8 05-14-2022 02:59 PM

Who here has falsely represented themselves as a former military person?

cr700 05-14-2022 04:11 PM


Originally Posted by buddies8 (Post 3422705)
Who here has falsely represented themselves as a former military person?

I don't think Cuj was falsely representing himself as serving in the military. He seemed genuinely proud of having a "military background" from performing in reenactments. You should ask him when he weighs back in here.

Chato 05-14-2022 04:24 PM


Originally Posted by cr700 (Post 3422765)
I don't think Cuj was falsely representing himself as serving in the military. He seemed genuinely proud of having a "military background" from performing in reenactments. You should ask him when he weighs back in here.

okay thakooj… i mean cr700

Cujo665 05-14-2022 04:29 PM


Originally Posted by pitchattitude (Post 3422493)
Not seeing anything about this anywhere. Source and details?

our 2013-2016 MEC had copies of most other regionals TA’s before their own pilots saw them….
I didn’t reveal sources then either, but if you ask any of those old MEC members they’ll confirm it’s true.

Cujo665 05-14-2022 04:31 PM


Originally Posted by cr700 (Post 3422628)
Be my guest. Just take a look at his history of "I called this back in 2014" or "I've been telling everyone this would happen." Ol Cutting Edge Cuj.

Oh, he doesn't like you to bring it up but what about that "military background" you have from doing Vietnam War reenactments Cuj?

You're so misinformed, that was one of your company flunkies that claimed that stuff, not me. He used the name DaCuj on a different message board to play off my screen name.
as usual you’re completely wrong again.

Cujo665 05-14-2022 04:33 PM


Originally Posted by Chato (Post 3422777)
okay thakooj… i mean cr700

that was another one too

Cujo665 05-14-2022 04:40 PM

The joke offer Ric put out should be looked at two ways.
first, nothing should contain any concessions… and PBS is a huge concession
that said rigs are a good thing and with Janes wasteful scheduling will bring pilots lots of soft money.
the other thing is while the bonus money doesn’t really change its being paid out sooner
in general I do not like the LOA package, and mostly for the PBS concession

that said, it has good points, but more importantly isn’t going to be enough to fix the staffing shortage, so management will be back soon offering more improvements.
once the Horizon deal breaks they won’t have a choice.
so, my advice to the MEC is tell them you’ll send the TA to a vote without PBS in it right now.
PBS can be okay, but not under Ric and Jane it can’t.

Cujo665 05-14-2022 04:42 PM


Originally Posted by buddies8 (Post 3422705)
Who here has falsely represented themselves as a former military person?

DaCuj on a different message board.

pitchattitude 05-14-2022 05:12 PM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 3422797)
The joke offer Ric put out should be looked at two ways.
first, nothing should contain any concessions… and PBS is a huge concession
that said rigs are a good thing and with Janes wasteful scheduling will bring pilots lots of soft money.
the other thing is while the bonus money doesn’t really change its being paid out sooner
in general I do not like the LOA package, and mostly for the PBS concession

that said, it has good points, but more importantly isn’t going to be enough to fix the staffing shortage, so management will be back soon offering more improvements.
once the Horizon deal breaks they won’t have a choice.
so, my advice to the MEC is tell them you’ll send the TA to a vote without PBS in it right now.
PBS can be okay, but not under Ric and Jane it can’t.

Without DETAILS, just saying PBS is good or bad is misleading.

Part of the problem at ENY is the crappy flight file. The rigs MAY improve how they build the sequences, but with fewer puzzle pieces (less overall flying) to fit into each sequence there is still limited options on what they can do. The rigs will at least make them a little more palatable, but seriously doubt they can eliminate (or even reduce very much) the lost days and low hour sequences they have.


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